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Inland Real Estate (Inland Real Estate) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-18.92 (As of Dec15)


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What is Inland Real Estate Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec15, Inland Real Estate's earnings power value is $-18.92. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Inland Real Estate Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Inland Real Estate Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Inland Real Estate Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -10.14 -19.72 -20.47 -21.18 -18.92

Inland Real Estate Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.18 -21.18 -20.81 -19.53 -18.92

Competitive Comparison of Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Inland Real Estate Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Inland Real Estate's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 180.0
DDA 63.5
Operating Margin % 18.61
SGA * 25% 5.2
Tax Rate % -29.34
Maintenance Capex 136.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 9.5
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 849.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 100.5

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 18.61%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $180.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 18.61%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.2,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 180.0 * 18.61% +5.2 = $38.735012541 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -29.34%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $38.735012541 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 38.735012541 * ( 1 - -29.34% ) = $50.099090520279 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 63.5 * 0.5 * -29.34% = $-9.31818887 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 50.099090520279 + -9.31818887 = $40.780901650279 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Inland Real Estate's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $136.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Inland Real Estate's current cash and cash equivalent = $9.5 Mil.
Inland Real Estate's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 849.1 + 0.0 = $849.09 Mil.
Inland Real Estate's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 100.5 Mil.

Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 40.780901650279 - 136.4)/ 9%+9.5-849.09 )/100.5
=-18.92

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -18.922351299142-10.61 )/-18.922351299142
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Inland Real Estate  (NYSE:IRC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Inland Real Estate Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Inland Real Estate's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Inland Real Estate (Inland Real Estate) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Inland Real Estate Corp was formed on May 12, 1994. It is a publicly held real estate investment trust ("REIT") that owns, operates and develops open-air neighborhood, community and power shopping centers and single-tenant retail properties located in Midwest markets. Approximately fifty-nine percent of its total retail portfolio gross leasable area is located in the Chicago Metropolitan Statistical Area, with its second largest market concentration being approximately seventeen percent in the Minneapolis-St. Paul MSA. Tenants at the Company's retail properties primarily provide "everyday" goods and services to consumers. The primary drivers of its internal income growth are rental rate increases over expiring rates on new and renewal leases and cost savings from operational efficiencies. The Company's business is competitive. It competes with other property owners on the basis of location, rental rates, operating expenses, visibility, quality of the property, volume of traffic, strength and name recognition of other tenants at each location and other factors. These competitive factors affect the level of occupancy and rental rates that it is able to achieve at its investment properties. In addition, the Company's tenants compete against other forms of retailing such as catalog companies and e-commerce websites that offer similar retail products. The Company competes with other real estate companies, and at its current investment properties, it competes with other owners of similar properties for tenants. Inland Real Estate's properties are also subject to various federal, state and local regulatory requirements, such as state and local fire and life safety requirements.
Executives
Brett A Brown officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORPORATION, 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Meredith W. Mendes director 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Beth Sprecher Brooks officer: Sr VP & General Counsel C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORPORATION, 2901 BUTTERFIELD RD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
D Arcy Thomas P director C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORPORATION, 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Thomas R Mcwilliams director C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORPORATION, 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Mark E Zalatoris director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2901 BUTTERFIELD RD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
D Scott Carr officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORP, 2901 BUFTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
William W Anderson officer: Senior Vice President C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORP, 2901 BUFTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Joel D Simmon director C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORP, 2901 BUFTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Heidi N Lawton director C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORP, 2901 BUFTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Joel G Herter director C/O INLAND REAL ESTATE CORP, 2901 BUFTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Daniel L Goodwin director, 10 percent owner 2901 BUTTERFIELD RD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Thomas H Mcauley director 3095 BRANDY STATION, ATLANTA GA 30339-4425
Inland Group Inc director, 10 percent owner 2901 BUTTERFIELD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Inland Real Estate Investment Corp 10 percent owner 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523

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