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Iteris (Iteris) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.90 (As of Dec23)


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What is Iteris Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Iteris's earnings power value is $1.90. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -135.31

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Iteris Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Iteris Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Iteris Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.48 1.67 1.63 1.48 1.41

Iteris Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.06 1.41 1.61 1.73 1.90

Competitive Comparison of Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Iteris Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Iteris's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 132.7
DDA 3.1
Operating Margin % -2.11
SGA * 25% 10.6
Tax Rate % 2.05
Maintenance Capex 1.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 21.2
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 6.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 43.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -2.11%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $132.7 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -2.11%, Average Adjusted SGA = 10.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 132.7 * -2.11% +10.6 = $7.75348306 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 2.05%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $7.75348306 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 7.75348306 * ( 1 - 2.05% ) = $7.5944203550241 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 3.1 * 0.5 * 2.05% = $0.0314269285 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 7.5944203550241 + 0.0314269285 = $7.6258472835241 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Iteris's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Iteris's current cash and cash equivalent = $21.2 Mil.
Iteris's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 6.3 + 0.0 = $6.301 Mil.
Iteris's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 43.8 Mil.

Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 7.6258472835241 - 1.5)/ 9%+21.2-6.301 )/43.8
=1.90

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.9038429267729-4.48 )/1.9038429267729
= -135.31%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Iteris  (NAS:ITI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Iteris Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Iteris's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Iteris (Iteris) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1250 S. Capital of Texas Highway, Austin, TX, USA, 78746
Iteris Inc is a provider of smart mobility infrastructure management solutions. Its solutions include traveler information systems, transportation performance measurement software, traffic analytics software, transportation operations software, transportation-related data sets, advanced sensing devices, managed services, traffic engineering services, and mobility consulting services. The company's cloud-enabled end-to-end solutions help public transportation agencies, municipalities, commercial entities and other transportation infrastructure providers monitor, visualize, and optimize mobility infrastructure to make mobility safe, efficient,and sustainable for everyone. The software solutions include ClearGuide, ClearRoute, Commercial Vehicle Operations, BlueArgus, TrafficCarma,and others.
Executives
Todd Kreter officer: Vice President 1700 CARNEGIE AVE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Andrew Wiener 10 percent owner C/O SAMJO CAPITAL, LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Samjo Management, Llc 10 percent owner 880 THIRD AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gary Hall director C/O ITERIS, INC., 1250 S. CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY, STE 330, AUSTIN TX 78746
Kimberly Valentine-poska director C/O ITERIS, INC., 1250 S. CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY, STE 330, AUSTIN TX 78746
Kerry A Shiba officer: SVP and CFO 5847 SAN FELIPE SUITE 2500, HOUSTON TX 77057
William M. Cousins officer: SVP and Chief Product Officer C/O ITERIS, INC., 1250 S. CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY, BLDG.1, AUSTIN TX 78746
Douglas L Groves officer: Senior Vice President & CFO ITERIS, INC., 1700 CARNEGIE AVE SUITE 100, SANTA ANA CA 92705
J. Joseph Bergera officer: President and CEO 1700 CARNEGIE AVENUE, SUITE 100, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Tom Thomas director
Ramin M Massoumi officer: Sr. Vice President 1700 CARNEGIE AVE., SUITE 100, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Gerard Mooney director 1700 CARNEGIE AVE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Lucas P Schneider director 968 ALBANY SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM X1 12110
Anjali Joshi director
Dennis W Zank director ITERIS, INC., 1700 CARNEGIE AVE SUITE 100, SANTA ANA CA 92705

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