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Maxwell Technologies (Maxwell Technologies) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $11.28 (As of Mar19)


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What is Maxwell Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar19, Maxwell Technologies's earnings power value is $11.28. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Maxwell Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Maxwell Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Maxwell Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.74 0.15 -0.97 0.50 12.96

Maxwell Technologies Quarterly Data
Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.55 -1.66 -1.53 12.96 11.28

Competitive Comparison of Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Maxwell Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Maxwell Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 123.48
DDA 9.81
Operating Margin % 43.62
SGA * 25% 9.30
Tax Rate % 21.39
Maintenance Capex 4.64
Cash and Cash Equivalents 48.13
Short-Term Debt 0.37
Long-Term Debt 38.31
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 46.22

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 43.62%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $123.48 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 43.62%, Average Adjusted SGA = 9.30,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 123.48 * 43.62% +9.30 = $63.160460962 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 21.39%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $63.160460962 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 63.160460962 * ( 1 - 21.39% ) = $49.652964780667 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 9.81 * 0.5 * 21.39% = $1.0489833 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 49.652964780667 + 1.0489833 = $50.701948080667 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Maxwell Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $4.64 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Maxwell Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $48.13 Mil.
Maxwell Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 38.31 + 0.37 = $38.671 Mil.
Maxwell Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 46.22 Mil.

Maxwell Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar19 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 50.701948080667 - 4.64)/ 9%+48.13-38.671 )/46.22
=11.28

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 11.27762827075-4.48 )/11.27762827075
= 60.28%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Maxwell Technologies  (NAS:MXWL) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Maxwell Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Maxwell Technologies (Maxwell Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3888 Calle Fortunada, San Diego, CA, USA, 92123
Maxwell Technologies Inc is a part of the electronic components industry. It engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing energy storage and power delivery solutions for automotive, heavy transportation, renewable energy, backup power, wireless communications and industrial and consumer electronics applications. Maxwell products are designed and built to provide failure-free performance for the life of the most demanding applications. The company is committed to providing cost-effective, energy-efficient, environmentally-conscious energy storage and power delivery solutions.
Executives
Rick Bergman director C/O ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC., 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
John Mutch director C/O PEREGRINE SYSTEMS, INC., 3611 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
David Lyle officer: Chief Financial Officer 6290 SEQUENCE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Steven J Bilodeau director C/O COHU, INC., 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Franz Fink director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FREESCALE SEMICONDUCTOR, INC., 6501 WILLIAM CANNON DRIVE WEST, AUSTIN TX 78735
David L Schlotterbeck director 10221 WATERIDGE CIRCLE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Yon Jorden director 750 WEST JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 1200, IRVING TX 75039
Mark Rossi director
Christopher Humphrey officer: VP of Marketing and Bus. Dev. 15353 BARRANCA PARKWAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Kevin Royal officer: Chief Financial Officer
John Warwick officer: Chief Operating Officer EMULEX CORPORATION, 3333 SUSAN STREET, COSTA MESA CA 92626
David Schramm director, officer: CEO and President C/O MAXWELL TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 9244 BALBOA AVENUE, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
George Iii Kreigler officer: Sr. VP Worldwide Operations
Thomas L Ringer director C/O CALIFORNIA AMPLLIFIER INC, 460 CALLE SAN PABLO, CAMARILLO CA 93012
Tesfaye Hailemichael officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MITEK SYSTEMS, INC., 8911 BALBOA AVENUE SUITE B, SAN DIEGO CA 92123