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Nationstar Mortgage Holdings (Nationstar Mortgage Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-172.30 (As of Jun18)


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What is Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun18, Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's earnings power value is $-172.30. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - -92.55 -207.32 -253.51 -197.07

Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -211.02 -204.24 -197.07 -192.53 -172.30

Competitive Comparison of Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,677
DDA 391
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 384
Tax Rate % 34.20
Maintenance Capex 445
Cash and Cash Equivalents 206
Short-Term Debt 20
Long-Term Debt 13,068
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 99

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,677 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 384,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,677 * 0.00% +384 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 34.20%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 34.20% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 391 * 0.5 * 34.20% = $66.779730615 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 66.779730615 = $66.779730615 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $445 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $206 Mil.
Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 13,068 + 20 = $13088 Mil.
Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 99 Mil.

Nationstar Mortgage Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 66.779730615 - 445)/ 9%+206-13088 )/99
=-172.30

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -172.30093697221-18.27 )/-172.30093697221
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Nationstar Mortgage Holdings  (NYSE:NSM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Nationstar Mortgage Holdings (Nationstar Mortgage Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Inc is a specialty finance company that earns fees through the delivery of quality servicing, origination, and transaction based services principally related to single-family residences throughout the United States. Nationstar provides services to homeowners, home buyers, home sellers, and real estate investors. The company operates four segments: Servicing, Originations, Xome, and Corporate/Other. The vast majority of its revenue is derived from its Servicing segment. Its Originations segment primarily originates conventional residential mortgage loans in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Its Xome segment is a residential real estate technology company.
Executives
Fig Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Investment Group Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Operating Entity I Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Corp. 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Roy A Guthrie director 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Anthony W. Villani officer: EVP and General Counsel 8950 CYPRESS WATERS BOULEVARD, COPPELL TX 75019
Robert H Gidel director 677 N WASHINGTON BLVD, SARASOTA FL 34236
Michael D Malone director 2430 LEMON TREE LANE, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Anthony L Ebers officer: See Remarks 888 E. WALNUT STREET, PASADENA CA 91101
Jesse K Bray director, officer: President and CEO 8950 CYPRESS WATERS BOULEVARD, COPPELL TX 75019
Michael R Rawls officer: EVP, Servicing 8950 CYPRESS WATERS BOULEVARD, COPPELL TX 75019
Amar R Patel officer: See Remarks 8401 N CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, STE 800, DALLAS TX 75225
Robert Daniel Stiles officer: EVP & CFO 2-8 AVENUE CHARLES DE GAULLE, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1653
Harold G Lewis officer: President and COO 5501 HEADQUARTERS DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
David C Hisey officer: EVP, Chief Strategy & EAO 8950 CYPRESS WATERS BOULEVARD, COPPELL TX 75019

Nationstar Mortgage Holdings (Nationstar Mortgage Holdings) Headlines