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Perry Ellis International (Perry Ellis International) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-824.08 (As of Jul18)


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What is Perry Ellis International Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jul18, Perry Ellis International's earnings power value is $-824.08. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Perry Ellis International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Perry Ellis International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Perry Ellis International Annual Data
Trend Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.80 -933.83 -899.43 -819.36 -812.08

Perry Ellis International Quarterly Data
Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -831.90 -820.48 -812.08 -816.12 -824.08

Competitive Comparison of Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Perry Ellis International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Perry Ellis International's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 883.6
DDA 14.1
Operating Margin % 2.75
SGA * 25% 69.3
Tax Rate % 1,401.04
Maintenance Capex 10.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 21.3
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 39.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 15.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 2.75%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $883.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 2.75%, Average Adjusted SGA = 69.3,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 883.6 * 2.75% +69.3 = $93.566417226 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1,401.04%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $93.566417226 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 93.566417226 * ( 1 - 1,401.04% ) = $-1217.3360468451 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 14.1 * 0.5 * 1,401.04% = $99.036680176 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -1217.3360468451 + 99.036680176 = $-1118.2993666691 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Perry Ellis International's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $10.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Perry Ellis International's current cash and cash equivalent = $21.3 Mil.
Perry Ellis International's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 39.2 + 0.0 = $39.229 Mil.
Perry Ellis International's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 15.2 Mil.

Perry Ellis International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jul18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -1118.2993666691 - 10.9)/ 9%+21.3-39.229 )/15.2
=-824.08

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -824.07581576635-27.50 )/-824.07581576635
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Perry Ellis International  (NAS:PERY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Perry Ellis International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Perry Ellis International (Perry Ellis International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Perry Ellis manufactures apparel and accessories that it sells under its own brand names or via licensed brands. Notable company-owned brands include Original Penguin and Perry Ellis. Licenses are primarily for golf apparel or swimwear. The company is the official apparel licensee for Callaway Golf and the official swimwear licensee in North America for Nike. Perry Ellis primarily distributes its products to wholesale customers, which sell through channels including department stores, specialty stores, sporting goods stores, and e-commerce. The company also maintains its own Perry Ellis and Original Penguin retail stores. The majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the men's sportswear and swim segment and from sales in the United States.
Executives
Bruce J Klatsky director 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Michael W Rayden director
Jane E. Deflorio director 3000 N.W. 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Anita D Britt officer: Chief Financial Officer 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Barry S Gluck director
George Pita officer: Sr. Vice President - Finance 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Timothy B Page officer: Chief Financial Officer 3000 NW 107TH AVE MIAMI FL 33172
De Cardenas Alberto I officer: Senior VP and General Counsel 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES X1 33134