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Pricesmart (Pricesmart) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $38.35 (As of Feb24)


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What is Pricesmart Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Feb24, Pricesmart's earnings power value is $38.35. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -122.79

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Pricesmart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pricesmart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Pricesmart Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.04 24.44 25.36 30.41 35.85

Pricesmart Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.01 37.09 35.85 37.64 38.35

Competitive Comparison of Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Pricesmart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Pricesmart's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,895
DDA 67
Operating Margin % 4.18
SGA * 25% 125
Tax Rate % 33.77
Maintenance Capex 99
Cash and Cash Equivalents 264
Short-Term Debt 51
Long-Term Debt 210
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 30

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.18%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,895 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.18%, Average Adjusted SGA = 125,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,895 * 4.18% +125 = $287.781376475 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 33.77%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $287.781376475 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 287.781376475 * ( 1 - 33.77% ) = $190.58465547745 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 67 * 0.5 * 33.77% = $11.276900256 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 190.58465547745 + 11.276900256 = $201.86155573345 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Pricesmart's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $99 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Pricesmart's current cash and cash equivalent = $264 Mil.
Pricesmart's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 210 + 51 = $261.082 Mil.
Pricesmart's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 30 Mil.

Pricesmart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 201.86155573345 - 99)/ 9%+264-261.082 )/30
=38.35

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 38.350507179683-85.44 )/38.350507179683
= -122.79%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Pricesmart  (NAS:PSMT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Pricesmart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Pricesmart (Pricesmart) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9740 Scranton Road, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Pricesmart Inc is principally engaged in operating U.S.-style membership shopping warehouse clubs that offer consumer goods at low prices. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California, United States, and operates stores in Latin America and the Caribbean, with Central America contributing over half of its net warehouse club sales. The company's revenue consists of net warehouse club sales from merchandise sales, membership income from annual membership fees, export sales, and other income, with net warehouse club sales accounting for the majority of the company's total revenue.
Executives
Edgar Zurcher director BURETE ZURCHER, CALLE 1 ERA AUS 9 Y 11, NO 959 BO AMON, SAN JOSE COSTA RICA G2 00000
Sherry S. Bahrambeygui director 9740 SCRANTON ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Wayne J Sadin officer: EVP and CIO 9740 SCRANTON RD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Ana Luisa Bianchi officer: EVP-Chief Merch. Officer PRICESMART, INC., 9740 SCRANTON RD., SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Francisco Velasco officer: EVP, GC and Secretary PRICESMART, INC., 9740 SCRANTON RD., SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Rodrigo Calvo officer: EVP-Real Estate 9740 SCRANTON ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
John Thelan director 9740 SCRANTON RD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Christopher S Souhrada officer: EVP-Club Operations 9740 SCRANTON RD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Gordon H. Hanson director 9640 SCRANTON ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Chong Jesus Von officer: EVP-Foods Merchandising PRICESMART, INC., 9740 SCRANTON RD., SAN DIEGO CA 92121
John D Hildebrandt officer: EVP -- Caribbean & Central Am. 4649 MORENA BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92117
Robert E Price director, 10 percent owner, officer: Acting Chief Executive Officer 7979 IVANHOE AVE, STE 520, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Price Family Charitable Fund 10 percent owner 7979 IVANHOE AVE, STE 520, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Nicolas Maslowski officer: EVP-Member Experience 9740 SCRANTON RD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Juan Ignacio Biehl officer: EVP and CTO 9740 SCRANTON RD., SAN DIEGO CA 92121