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PASSUR Aerospace (PASSUR Aerospace) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-6.29 (As of Jul22)


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What is PASSUR Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jul22, PASSUR Aerospace's earnings power value is $-6.29. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


PASSUR Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PASSUR Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

PASSUR Aerospace Annual Data
Trend Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.11 -4.34 -5.24 -5.12 -4.88

PASSUR Aerospace Quarterly Data
Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.62 -4.88 -5.09 -5.91 -6.29

Competitive Comparison of PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



PASSUR Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

PASSUR Aerospace's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 11.08
DDA 2.25
Operating Margin % -18.64
SGA * 25% 1.64
Tax Rate % -17.19
Maintenance Capex 2.53
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.22
Short-Term Debt 0.09
Long-Term Debt 12.76
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 7.71

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -18.64%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $11.08 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -18.64%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.64,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 11.08 * -18.64% +1.64 = $-0.426546112 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -17.19%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-0.426546112 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -0.426546112 * ( 1 - -17.19% ) = $-0.49986085773056 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.25 * 0.5 * -17.19% = $-0.19353688 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -0.49986085773056 + -0.19353688 = $-0.69339773773056 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
PASSUR Aerospace's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $2.53 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. PASSUR Aerospace's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.22 Mil.
PASSUR Aerospace's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 12.76 + 0.09 = $12.853 Mil.
PASSUR Aerospace's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 7.71 Mil.

PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jul22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -0.69339773773056 - 2.53)/ 9%+0.22-12.853 )/7.71
=-6.29

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -6.2878021809166-0.01 )/-6.2878021809166
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


PASSUR Aerospace  (OTCPK:PSSR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


PASSUR Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PASSUR Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PASSUR Aerospace (PASSUR Aerospace) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Landmark Square, Suite 1905, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
PASSUR Aerospace Inc is engaged in digital operational excellence, providing predictive analytics and decision support technology for the aviation industry, to improve the operational performance and cash flow of airlines and the airports where they operate. The company's information solutions are used at five North American airlines; by airlines in Europe; by more than 60 airport customers (used at the top 30 North American airports); by more than 100 business aviation organizations; and by the US government.
Executives
Allison O'neill officer: Exec. VP Finance & Admin 883 INMAN VILLAGE PARKWAY, ATLANTA GA 30307
Richard L Haver director C/O PASSUR AEROSPACE, INC., ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STAMFORD CT 06901
Robert M. Stafford director C/O PASSUR AEROSPACE, ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STAMFORD CT 06901
Michael Owen Hulley director ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STAMFORD NY 06901
Michael P. Schumaecker director BOX 205, ORLEANS MA 02653
Sean L Doherty officer: Exec. VP Finance & Admin 34 MILSON CRESCENT, GUELPH A6 N1C1G9
Michael Henne officer: Chief Commercial Officer ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STAMFORD CT 06901
Brian Gerald Cook director 840 ST. JOHNS AVE., GREEN COVE SPRINGS FL 32043
John Franklin Thomas director 25 BURR DRIVE, NEEDHAM MA 02492
Ronald Rose director
David Mackenzie Henderson officer: See Remarks ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STAMFORD CT 06901
David Brukman officer: Chief Technology Officer 6 WATCH HILL DR., GREENWICH CT 06831
Keith D. Wichman officer: VP-Airline Solutions/Product C/O PASSUR AEROSPACE, ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STANFORD CT 06901
William S. Leber officer: VP of Air-Traffic Innovations C/O PASSUR AEROSPACE, ONE LANDMARK SQUARE SUITE 1900, STANFORD CT 06901
Thomas Scott White officer: Senior VP ATM & Technology C/O PASSUR AEROSPACE, ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STANFORD CT 06901

PASSUR Aerospace (PASSUR Aerospace) Headlines

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