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Rocket (Rocket) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-2.86 (As of Dec23)


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What is Rocket Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Rocket's earnings power value is $-2.86. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Rocket Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rocket Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Rocket Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -2.86

Rocket Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -3.33 -3.54 -2.86

Competitive Comparison of Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Rocket Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Rocket's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8,492
DDA 86
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1,157
Tax Rate % 2.94
Maintenance Capex 140
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,108
Short-Term Debt 319
Long-Term Debt 4,928
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,984

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8,492 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1,157,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,492 * 0.00% +1,157 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 2.94%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 2.94% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 86 * 0.5 * 2.94% = $1.261046904 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 1.261046904 = $1.261046904 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Rocket's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $140 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Rocket's current cash and cash equivalent = $1,108 Mil.
Rocket's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 4,928 + 319 = $5247.652 Mil.
Rocket's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,984 Mil.

Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1.261046904 - 140)/ 9%+1,108-5247.652 )/1,984
=-2.86

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -2.8612870348824-12.35 )/-2.8612870348824
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Rocket  (NYSE:RKT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Rocket Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rocket's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Rocket (Rocket) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1050 Woodward Avenue, Detroit, MI, USA, 48226
Rocket Companies is a financial services company that was originally founded as Rock Financial in 1985 and is currently based in Detroit. Rocket Companies offers a wide array of services and products but is best known for its Rocket Mortgage business. The company's mortgage lending operations are split between its direct-to-consumer lending, which sees borrowers accessing the company's lending arm directly through either its mobile app or website, and its partner network where mortgage brokers and other firms use Rocket's origination process to offer loans to their customers. The company has rapidly gained market share in recent years and is now the largest mortgage originator in the U.S. as well as the servicer for more than 2 million loans.
Executives
Varun Krishna officer: Chief Executive Officer 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Jonathan D Mariner director 2200 WEST DON TYSON PARKWAY, SPRINGDALE AR 72762
William C. Emerson director 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Matthew Rizik director 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Jay Farner director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Tina V. John officer: General Counsel & Secretary C/O ROCKET COMPANIES, INC., 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Daniel B Gilbert director, 10 percent owner 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Rock Holdings Inc. director, 10 percent owner 1090 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Jennifer L. Gilbert director 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Nancy Tellem director 1016 LAKE PARK DRIVE, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Suzanne F. Shank director C/O PENSARE SPONSOR GROUP, LLC, 1720 PEACHTREE STREET, SUITE 629, ATLANTA GA 30309
Julie Booth officer: Chief Fin. Officer & Treasurer 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Angelo Vitale officer: General Counsel and Secretary 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Walters Robert D. Jr. officer: President & Chief Oper Officer 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226
Brian Nicholas Brown officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1050 WOODWARD AVENUE, DETROIT MI 48226