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Gentherm (Gentherm) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $19.36 (As of Dec23)


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What is Gentherm Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Gentherm's earnings power value is $19.36. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -161.28

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Gentherm Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gentherm Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Gentherm Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.30 19.28 23.84 16.91 19.36

Gentherm Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.91 17.69 17.12 18.31 19.36

Competitive Comparison of Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Gentherm Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Gentherm's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,121
DDA 44
Operating Margin % 8.16
SGA * 25% 31
Tax Rate % 26.15
Maintenance Capex 31
Cash and Cash Equivalents 150
Short-Term Debt 8
Long-Term Debt 238
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 32

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.16%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,121 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.16%, Average Adjusted SGA = 31,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,121 * 8.16% +31 = $122.534507152 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.15%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $122.534507152 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 122.534507152 * ( 1 - 26.15% ) = $90.491120859216 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 44 * 0.5 * 26.15% = $5.739564041 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 90.491120859216 + 5.739564041 = $96.230684900216 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Gentherm's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $31 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Gentherm's current cash and cash equivalent = $150 Mil.
Gentherm's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 238 + 8 = $246.713 Mil.
Gentherm's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 32 Mil.

Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 96.230684900216 - 31)/ 9%+150-246.713 )/32
=19.36

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 19.362727781975-50.59 )/19.362727781975
= -161.28%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Gentherm  (NAS:THRM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Gentherm Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gentherm's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gentherm (Gentherm) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
21680 Haggerty Road, Northville, MI, USA, 48167
Gentherm Inc is an automotive parts manufacturer. The business activities of the group function through the Automotive and Medical segments. The vast majority of the firm's revenue comes from the Automotive segment, which includes automotive climate comfort systems, automotive cable systems, battery performance solutions, and automotive electronics and software systems. The medical segment is comprised of the results from the patient temperature management business in the medical industry. Its geographical segments are the United States, China, South Korea, Germany, Japan, the Czech Republic, and other countries.
Executives
Kenneth E Washington director 6555 STATE HWY 161, IRVING TX 75039
Thomas Stocker officer: SVP and General Manager 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Rafael Barkas officer: SVP, Global Ops & Supply Chain 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Vishnu Sundaram officer: Chief Technology Officer 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Kauffman Wayne S Iii officer: VP and General Counsel 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Breisacher Nicholas officer: Chief Accounting Officer 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Barbara J Runyon officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Matthew Fisch officer: SVP & Chief Technology Officer 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Yijing Brentano officer: Senior VP IR and Corp Comm 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Phillip Eyler director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O HARMAN INTERNATIONAL INDUSTRIES, INC, 400 ATLANTIC STREET, STAMFORD CT 06901
Jaymi Wilson officer: SVP, Global Sales 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Jennifer L. Zoldos officer: Chief Accounting Officer 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Paul Cameron Giberson officer: Sr. VP Sales 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Matteo Anversa officer: Ex VP, CFO & Treasurer 1293 SOUTH MAIN STREET, AKRON OH 44301
Elizabeth Meter director 21680 HAGGERTY ROAD, NORTHVILLE MI 48167