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AllianceBernstein Holding LP (AllianceBernstein Holding LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is AllianceBernstein Holding LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AllianceBernstein Holding LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of AllianceBernstein Holding LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, AllianceBernstein Holding LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AllianceBernstein Holding LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, AllianceBernstein Holding LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AllianceBernstein Holding LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



AllianceBernstein Holding LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.92

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


AllianceBernstein Holding LP  (NYSE:AB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


AllianceBernstein Holding LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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AllianceBernstein Holding LP (AllianceBernstein Holding LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
501 Commerce Street, Nashville, TN, USA, 37203
AllianceBernstein provides investment management services to institutional (44% of assets under management), retail (39%), and private (17%) clients through products that includes mutual funds, hedge funds, and separately managed accounts. At the end of October 2023, AB had $652 billion in managed assets, composed primarily of fixed-income (39% of AUM) and equity (42%) strategies, with other investments (made up of asset allocation services and certain other alternative investments) accounting for the remainder. The company also provides sell-side research and brokerage services through its Sanford Bernstein subsidiary (which has been put in available-for-sale status following the joint venture agreement with Société Générale).
Executives
Thomas Simeone officer: Chief Accounting Officer ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 501 COMMERCE STREET, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Kate C Burke officer: Head of Human Capital and CTO /CO ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Joan M Lammtennant director 40 WANTAGE AVE, BRANCHVILLE NJ 07890
Karl Sprules officer: Head of Global Tech and Ops C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Mark R Manley officer: SVP/Acting GC of Gen. Partner C/O ALLIANCE CAPITAL, 1345 AVENUE OF AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Onur Erzan officer: Head, Gl. Cl. Grp. & Pr. Wlth. C/O ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN L.P., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Stonehill Charles G.t. director C/O EQUITABLE HOLDINGS, INC., 1290 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104
Todd Walthall director C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Laurence E Cranch officer: General Counsel ALLIANCE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L.P., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Ali Dibadj officer: CFO and Head of Strategy C/O JANUS HENDERSON GROUP, 151 DETROIT STREET, DENVER CO 80206
Bertram L Scott director C/O BECTON DICKERSON & CO, 1 BECTON DR, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
James A Gingrich officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Seth P Bernstein director, officer: President and CEO C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING, L.P., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Nella Domenici director C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
John C Weisenseel officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105