PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk (PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-9.92

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk (OTCPK:ADOOY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk (PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Other Energy Sources » PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk (OTCPK:ADOOY) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Traded in Other Exchanges

PADEF:USA ADRO:Indonesia A64:Germany

Address

Jalan H.R. Rasuna Said, Block X-5, Menara Karya Lantai, 23rd Floor, Kav. 1-2, Jakarta, IDN, 12950

Website

https://www.adaro.com

PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk is an Indonesia-based energy group that focuses on integrated coal mining. The company's primary location is in the Tabalong district in South Kalimantan, where its subsidiary PT Adaro Indonesia operates the single-site coal mine in the southern hemisphere. The company produces thermal coal, which is marketed under the brand name Envirocoal. The company's main customers are blue-chip power utilities, and roughly three-quarters of its coal is produced for foreign customers, with the remainder in Indonesia. In addition to the core mining business, the company also engages in barging, ship-loading, dredging, port services, marketing, and power generation. Its segment comprises coal mining and trading, mining services, logistics, and others.