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Altisource Portfolio Solutions (Altisource Portfolio Solutions) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.67% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Altisource Portfolio Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Altisource Portfolio Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.67%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Altisource Portfolio Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Altisource Portfolio Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altisource Portfolio Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Altisource Portfolio Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altisource Portfolio Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Altisource Portfolio Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.99

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.67%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Altisource Portfolio Solutions  (NAS:ASPS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Altisource Portfolio Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Altisource Portfolio Solutions (Altisource Portfolio Solutions) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
33, Boulevard Prince Henri, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1724
Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA is an integrated service provider and marketplace for the real estate and mortgage industries. It operates via two reportable segment namely Servicer and Real Estate and Origination. The Servicer and Real Estate segment provides loan servicers and real estate investors with solutions and technologies that span the mortgage and real estate lifecycle. The Origination segment provides originators with solutions and technologies that span the mortgage origination lifecycle. Altisource primarily serves financial institutions, government-sponsored enterprises, and originators in the United States, with the majority of revenue flowing from field services and mortgage and real estate solutions.
Executives
Aldridge John G Jr director C/O ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO SOLUTIONS S.A., 33, BOULEVARD PRINCE HENRI, LUXEMBOURG CITY N4 L-1724
Michelle D. Esterman officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO SOLUTIONS S.A., 33, BOULEVARD PRINCE HENRI, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1724
William B Shepro director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO SOLUTIONS S.A., 33, BOULEVARD PRINCE HENRI, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1724
Deer Park Road Management Company, Lp 10 percent owner 1195 BANGTAIL WAY, STEAMBOAT SPRINGS CO 80487
Mary Hickok director 1195 BANGTAIL WAY, STEAMBOAT SPRINGS CO 80487
Roland Mueller-ineichen director GAALIMATT 35, RAIN V8 CH-6026
Gregory J. Ritts officer: General Counsel C/O ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO SOLUTIONS S.A., 33, BOULEVARD PRINCE HENRI, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1724
W Michael Linn director 40, AVENUE MONTEREY, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2163
Marcello Mastioni officer: PRES, REAL ESTATE MARKETPLACE 40, AVENUE MONTEREY, LUXEMBOURG CITY N4 L-2163
Scott Edward Burg 10 percent owner 1195 BANGTAIL WAY, STEAMBOAT SPRINGS CO 80487
Agatecreek Llc 10 percent owner 1195 BANGTAIL WAY, STEAMBOAT SPRINGS CO 80487
Indroneel Chatterjee officer: Chief Financial Officer 40, AVENUE MONTEREY, LUXEMBOURG CITY N4 L-2163
Orin S Kramer director 2050 CENTER AVE, SUITE 300, FORT LEE NJ 07024
Joseph L Morettini director 1375 PORTMARNOCK DRIVE, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Deer Park Road Management Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 1195 BANGTAIL WAY, STEAMBOAT SPRINGS CO 80487

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