BlackRock Capital Investment (BlackRock Capital Investment) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is BlackRock Capital Investment Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BlackRock Capital Investment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of BlackRock Capital Investment's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, BlackRock Capital Investment's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

BlackRock Capital Investment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, BlackRock Capital Investment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BlackRock Capital Investment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

BlackRock Capital Investment Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.78

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

BlackRock Capital Investment (NAS:BKCC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

BlackRock Capital Investment Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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BlackRock Capital Investment (BlackRock Capital Investment) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » BlackRock Capital Investment Corp (NAS:BKCC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

8BK:Germany 8BK:Germany

Address

50 Hudson Yards, New York, NY, USA, 10001

Website

https://www.blackrockbkcc.com

BlackRock Capital Investment Corporation is a closed-end investment management enterprise based in the United States. It carries out its operations to generate both income and capital appreciation for its investors through its senior and junior secured, unsecured, and subordinated debt securities and loans and equity securities. BlackRock also follows a policy of investing primarily in middle-market companies with adequate annual revenue and positive cash flows. Its investment portfolio includes companies predominantly in the finance sector. Other sectors of investments comprise chemicals, healthcare, consumer goods, and retail.

Executives

Chip Holladay	officer: Interim CFO and Treasurer	40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Maureen K Usifer	director	C/O BLACKROCK KELSO CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC, 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Nik Singhal	officer: President	C/O BLACKROCK CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP, 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
James Keenan	director, other: Chairman of the Board	100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Abby Miller	officer: CFO and Treasurer	C/O BLACKROCK CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP, 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael Pungello	officer: Interim CFO/Interim Treasurer	55 E 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Jerrold B Harris	director	100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Mark S Lies	director	55 EAST 52ND ST, NEW YORK NY 10055
Meridee Moore	director
Michael J. Zugay	officer: Chief Executive Officer	55 E 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Steven Sterling	director, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board	C/O BLACKROCK KELSO CAPITAL CORPORATION, 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
John R Baron	director	55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Charles Park	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Donna Milia	officer: Interim CFO	C/O SKADDEN, ARPS, 1440 NEW YORK AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Pankovcin Corinne	officer: Chief Financial Officer	BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT CORP OF AMERICA, 405 PARK AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022