What is Blount International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blount International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Blount International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Blount International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Blount International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Blount International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Blount International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Blount International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Blount International (Blount International) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Blount International Inc is a global industrial company. The Company designs, manufactures, and markets equipment, replacement and component parts, and accessories for professionals and consumers in select end-markets under its proprietary brand names. It also manufactures and markets such items to original equipment manufacturers ("OEMs") under private label brand names. The Company specializes in manufacturing cutting parts and equipment used in forestry, lawn, and garden; farming, ranching, and agricultural; and construction applications. It also purchases products manufactured by other suppliers that are aligned with the markets it serves and market them, typically under one of its brands, through its global sales and distribution network. Its products are sold in more than 110 countries and approximately 54% of its 2013 sales were shipped to customers outside of the United States of America ("U.S."). The Company operates in two primary business segments: the Forestry, Lawn, and Garden ("FLAG") segment and the Farm Ranch and Agriculture ("FRAG") segment. The FLAG segment manufactures and markets cutting chain, guide bars, and drive sprockets for chain saw use, and lawnmower and edger blades for outdoor power equipment. The FLAG segment also purchases replacement parts and accessories from other manufacturers and markets them, primarily under its brands, to its FLAG customers through its global sales and distribution network. The FLAG segment currently includes the operations of the Company that have historically served the forestry, lawn, and garden markets, as well as KOX GmbH and related companies (collectively "KOX"), and a portion of Finalame SA, which includes PBL SA and related companies (collectively "PBL"). The Company's FRAG segment designs, manufactures, assembles and markets attachments and implements for tractors in a variety of mowing, cutting, clearing, material handling, landscaping and grounds maintenance applications, as well as log splitters, post-hole diggers, self-propelled lawnmowers, attachments for off-highway construction equipment applications, and other general purpose tractor attachments. In addition, the FRAG segment manufactures a variety of attachment cutting blade parts. The FRAG segment also purchases replacement parts and accessories from other manufacturers that it markets to its FRAG customers through its sales and distribution network. The FRAG segment currently includes the operations of SP Companies, Inc. and SpeeCo, Inc. (collectively "SpeeCo"), GenWoods HoldCo, LLC and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Woods Equipment Company (collectively "Woods/TISCO"), and a portion of PBL. The Company also operates a concrete cutting and finishing equipment business that is reported within the Corporate and Other category. This business manufactures and markets diamond cutting chain and assembles and markets concrete cutting chain saws for the construction and utility markets.
Executives
| Andrew C Clarke |
director |
430 AIRPORT ROAD, GREENVILLIE TN 37745 |
| Nelda J Connors |
director |
BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234 |
| Max L Lukens |
director |
2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77056 |
| Ronald Cami |
director |
301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102 |
| Harold E Layman |
director |
C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130 |
| R Eugene Cartledge |
director |
C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130 |
| Robert D Kennedy |
director |
|
| Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc |
10 percent owner |
1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020 |
| Eliot M Fried |
director |
37 WEST 12TH STREET APT 11G, NEW YORK NY 10011 |
| William A Shutzer |
director |
C/O TIFFANY & CO LEGAL DEPT, 727 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
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