Credit Acceptance (Credit Acceptance) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Credit Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Credit Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Credit Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Credit Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Credit Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Credit Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Credit Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Credit Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.72

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Credit Acceptance (NAS:CACC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Credit Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Credit Acceptance (Credit Acceptance) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » Credit Acceptance Corp (NAS:CACC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CRDA34:Brazil

Address

25505 W. Twelve Mile Road, Southfield, MI, USA, 48034-8339

Website

https://www.creditacceptance.com

Credit Acceptance Corp is a consumer finance company that specializes in automobile loans. These loans are offered through a U.S. nationwide network of automobile dealers that benefit from sales of vehicles to consumers who could otherwise not obtain financing. The company also benefits from repeat and referral sales, and from sales to customers responding to advertisements for financing, but qualify for traditional financing. The company derives its revenue from finance charges, premiums earned on the reinsurance of vehicle service contracts, and other fees. Of these, financing charges, including servicing fees, are by far the largest source of revenue.

Executives

Wendy A Rummler	officer: Senior VP, Human Resources	25505 WEST TWELVE MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Douglas W Busk	officer: Sr. Vice President & Treasurer	25505 WEST TWELVE MILE ROAD, SOUTH FIELD MI 48034
Nicholas J Elliott	officer: Chief Alignment Officer	25505 WEST TWELVE MILE RD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Arthur L Smith	officer: Chief Analytics Officer	25505 W 12 MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Sean Edward Quinn	director	C/O CIMPRESS PLC, 275 WYMAN STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Thomas W Smith	10 percent owner, other: Member of Section 13(d) Group	2200 BUTTS ROAD, SUITE 320, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Scott J Vassalluzzo	director, 10 percent owner, other: Member of Section 13(d) Group	2200 BUTTS ROAD, SUITE 320, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Donald A. Foss Irrevocable Trust Dated August 14, 2022	10 percent owner	39395 W. TWELVE MILE ROAD, SUITE 200, FARMINGTON HILLS MI 48331
Daniel A. Ulatowski	officer: Chief Sales Officer	25505 W 12 MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Andrew K Rostami	officer: Chief Mktg and Product Officer	25505 WEST TWELVE MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Prescott General Partners Llc	10 percent owner, other: Member of Section 13(d) Group	2200 BUTTS ROAD, SUITE 320, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Ravi Mohan Valiyaveettil	officer: Chief Technology Officer	25505 WEST TWELVE MILE RD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Thomas N Tryforos	director	323 RAILROAD AVE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Kenneth Booth	officer: Chief Financial Officer	25505 WEST TWELVE MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Donald A Foss	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman	29777 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SUITE 2611, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034