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Cryo-Cell International (Cryo-Cell International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Cryo-Cell International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cryo-Cell International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cryo-Cell International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Cryo-Cell International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cryo-Cell International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Cryo-Cell International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cryo-Cell International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cryo-Cell International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.51

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cryo-Cell International  (AMEX:CCEL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cryo-Cell International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cryo-Cell International (Cryo-Cell International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
700 Brooker Creek Boulevard, Suite 1800, Oldsmar, FL, USA, 34677
Cryo-Cell International Inc is engaged in cellular processing and cryogenic storage. The company is organized into three reportable segments namely cellular processing and cryogenic storage, with a focus on the collection and preservation of umbilical cord blood and tissue stem cells for family use and the manufacturing of Prepacyte CB units segment, which is a processing technology used to process umbilical cord blood stem cells. The Public cord blood banking segment consists of cellular processing and cryogenic storage of umbilical cord blood stem cells for public use. All the business activity of the group functions through the United States and it derives revenue from processing and testing fees and storage fees charged each year for storage and through sales of the Prepacyte CB units.
Executives
David Portnoy director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer C/O FOCUS FINANCIAL GROUP, 61 HARBOUR WAY, BAL HARBOUR FL 33154
George Gaines director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Jonathan H. Wheeler director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Brian L. Sheehy director 415 MADISON AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Mark L. Portnoy director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Harold D. Berger director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Arthur Ellis director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Mary J Nyberg 10 percent owner 455 E MAYO BLVD, UNIT 5202, PHOENIX AZ 85050
Cdmj Nyberg Family Trust 10 percent owner 455 E MAYO BLVD, UNIT 5202, PHOENIX AZ 85050
Jill M Taymans officer: VP, Finance, CFO
Oleg Mikulinsky officer: Chief Information Officer 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Anthony Atala director 700 BROOKER CREEK BOULEVARD, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Scott G Christian director
Sung Won Sohn director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Michael W. Cho director C/O IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY, 1600 S. 16TH STREET, AMES IA 50011-1250