Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings (Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-6.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings (NYSE:CCO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings (Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc (NYSE:CCO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

C7C1:Germany

Address

4830 North Loop 1604 West, Suite 111, San Antonio, TX, USA, 78249

Website

https://www.clearchanneloutdoor.com

Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc is one of the world's largest outdoor advertising companies. The company is engaged in providing advertising opportunities through billboards, street furniture displays, transit displays, and other out-of-home advertising displays for its clients. Its reportable segment includes America; Airports; Europe-North and Europe-South. The company generates maximum revenue from the America segment. The America segment serves markets throughout the U.S., with over 90% of its revenue generated from billboard displays.

Executives

Ares Management Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Asof Ii A (de) Holdings I, L.p.	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Asof Ii Holdings I, L.p.	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Justin Cochrane	officer: CEO, UK & Europe	4830 NORTH LOOP 1604W, SUITE 111, SAN ANTONIO TX 78249
Ares Voting Llc	10 percent owner	C/O ARES MGMT, 2000 AVE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Assf Operating Manager Iv, L.p.	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Acof Investment Management Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Holdco Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Management Gp Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Partners Holdco Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Management Holdings L.p.	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ares Management Corp	10 percent owner	2000 AVE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Asof Investment Management Llc	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, C/O ARES MANAGEMENT, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Asof Holdings I, L.p.	10 percent owner	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, C/O ARES MANAGEMENT LLC, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Assf Iv Aiv B Holdings Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner	2000 AVE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, C/O ARES MANAGEMENT, LOS ANGELES CA 90067