GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Data I/O Corp (NAS:DAIO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Data I/O (Data I/O) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1981. Start your Free Trial

What is Data I/O Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Data I/O Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Data I/O  (NAS:DAIO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Data I/O Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Data I/O's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Data I/O (Data I/O) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Data I/O Corp (NAS:DAIO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6645 185th Avenue NE, Suite 100, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052
Data I/O Corp is a provider of programming, security deployment, security provisioning and associated Intellectual Property protection and management solutions used in electronics manufacturing with flash memory, microcontrollers, and flash memory-based intelligent devices as well as secure element devices, authentication devices and secure microcontrollers. It is engaged in focused on the design, manufacturing and sale of programming systems used by designers and manufacturers of electronic products. It has its geographic presence in United States, Europe and Rest of the world.
Executives
Gerald Yat Ng officer: Vice President Finance 16220 WOOD-RED ROAD NE, WOODINVILLE WA 98072
William O. Wentworth director 8 DYER AVE, SALEM NH 03079
Edward J Smith director 635 HOOD ROAD, MARKHAM A6 L3R 4N6
Cheemin Bo-linn director 4555 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Anthony Ambrose director, officer: President 6645 185TH AVE NE SUITE 100, REDMOND WA 98052
Rajeev Gulati officer: Vice President CTO 6464 185TH AVE NE, SUITE 101, REDMOND WA 98052
Douglas Wells Brown director 6464 185TH AVE NE, SUITE 101, REDMOND WA 98052
Joel S Hatlen officer: Chief Financial Officer DATA IO CORP, 6464 185TH AVE NE, SUITE 101, REDMOND WA 98052
Sally A. Washlow director 6500 W. CORTLAND STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
John D Delafield director 1301 SECOND AVENUE, SUITE 2850, SEATTLE WA 98101
Michael R Tidwell officer: Vice President Mktg & Bus Dev 6645 185TH AVE NE, SUITE 100, REDMOND WA 98052
Alan B Howe director 1155 KAS DRIVE SUITE 100, RICHARDSON TX 75081
Mark J Gallenberger director LTX-CREDENCE CORPORATION, 825 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, NORWOOD MA 02062
David Kanen 10 percent owner 6429 NW 65TH WAY, PARKLAND FL 33067
Kanen Wealth Management Llc 10 percent owner 5850 CORAL RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 309, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33076