GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Dime Community Bancshares Inc (NAS:DCOM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Dime Community Bancshares (Dime Community Bancshares) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.13% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1996. Start your Free Trial

What is Dime Community Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Dime Community Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.61

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Dime Community Bancshares  (NAS:DCOM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dime Community Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dime Community Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dime Community Bancshares (Dime Community Bancshares) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
898 Veterans Memorial Highway, Suite 560, Hauppauge, NY, USA, 11788
Dime Community Bancshares Inc operates as a holding company. It gathers deposits from customers within its market area and via the internet, and invests them in multifamily residential, commercial real estate, commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, and one-to-four family residential real estate loans, as well as mortgage-backed securities, obligations of the U.S. government and government- sponsored enterprises (GSEs), and corporate debt and equity securities.
Executives
Stuart H Lubow officer: President 300 CADMAN PLAZA WEST, 8TH FLOOR, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Judith H Germano director 898 VETERANS MEMORIAL HIGHWAY, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Basswood Capital Management, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Christopher J Porzelt officer: Chief Risk Officer 300 CADMAN PLAZA WEST, 8TH FLOOR, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Basswood Partners, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Financial Fund, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Financial Long Only Fund, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FL., NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Opportunity Fund Inc director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVE, 10TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Basswood Opportunity Partners, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, 645 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael Fegan officer: Chief Technology & Ops Officer 300 CADMAN PLAZA WEST, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Kenneth J Mahon director
Paul M Aguggia director 1433 VAN HOUTEN AVENUE, CLIFTON NJ 07013
Mccoy Jr. Albert E director P.O. BOX 3005, BRIDGEHAMPTON NY 11932
Rosemarie Chen director 300 CADMAN PLAZA WEST, 8TH FLOOR, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Bennett D Lindenbaum director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022