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Enstar Group (Enstar Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Enstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Enstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Enstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Enstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Enstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Enstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Enstar Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Enstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Enstar Group  (NAS:ESGR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Enstar Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Enstar Group (Enstar Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22 Queen Street, Windsor Place, 3rd Floor, Hamilton, BMU, HM JX
Enstar Group Ltd is a (re)insurance group that offers capital release solutions through its network of group companies. It seeks to create value by managing (re)insurance companies and portfolios of (re)insurance and other liability business in run-off and striving to generate an attractive risk-adjusted return from its investment portfolio. Its operations through four reportable segments: Run-off, Assumed Life, Investments, and Legacy Underwriting.
Executives
Silvester Dominic Francis Michael director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CASTLEWOOD HOLDINGS LIMITED, PO BOX HM 2267, WINDSOR PL., 18 QUEEN ST, HAMILTON D0 HM JX
Stone Point Capital Llc director 20 HORSENECK LANE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Poul Albaek Winslow director ONE QUEEN STREET EAST, SUITE 2500, TORONTO A6 M5C 2W5
Girish Ramanathan officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Obaidat Nazar Al officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Stone Point Gp Ltd. director C/O CITCO TRUSTEES (CAYMAN) LIMITED, 89 NEXUS WAY, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1205
Laurence Plumb officer: Chief of Business Operations C/O QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Seema Thaper officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
David Kang-wen Ni officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Matthew Kirk officer: Group Treasurer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Sharon Anne Beesley director WINDSOR PLACE 3RD FLOOR, 22 QUEEN STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Robert J Campbell director
Michael P Murphy officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 600, DUBLIN CA 94568
Zachary Wolf officer: Chief Financial Officer 411 FIFTH AVE. 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Kathleen Carbone officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1271 AVE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020-1304

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