GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Fanuc Corp (OTCPK:FANUF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Fanuc (FANUF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2010. Start your Free Trial

What is Fanuc Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fanuc Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.79

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fanuc  (OTCPK:FANUF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fanuc Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fanuc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fanuc (FANUF) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3580, Shibokusa, Oshino-mura, Minamitsuru-gun, Yamanashi, JPN, 401-0597
Fanuc provides factory automation products, such as industrial robots, computerized numerical control systems, and compact machining centers (Robodrills) globally. The company had its beginnings as part of Fujitsu developing early numerical control systems and now commands the top global market share with its CNC systems and industrial robots.

Fanuc (FANUF) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Matthews Japan Fund Comments on Fanuc Corp

By Vera Yuan Vera Yuan 07-30-2015

Daniel Loeb Comments on Fanuc Corp

By Vera Yuan Vera Yuan 02-10-2015

Matthews Japan Fund Invests in Tech and Financial Picks

By Margaret Moran Margaret Moran 05-07-2021

Fanuc: A Wallflower at the Robotics Orgy?

By Joseph L Shaefer Joseph L Shaefer 08-07-2017

Daniel Loeb's Comments on Fanuc

By Ashish Sharma Lalitsharma 02-27-2015

Jean-Marie Eveillard's First Eagle Global Fund Q4 Commentary

By Holly LaFon Holly LaFon 02-13-2013

First Eagle Global Fund Q1 2015 Commentary

By Vera Yuan Vera Yuan 05-22-2015

Put Corporate Japan's Cash in Your Wallet

By Clayton Young Clayton Young 08-02-2017

Robotics and Tools Manufacturer Fanuc Should Be Bought at a Bottom

By Holmes Osborne, CFA Holmes Osborne, CFA 04-22-2016

Fanuc Will Continue to Do Well

By Holmes Osborne, CFA Holmes Osborne, CFA 03-07-2017