FirstCash Holdings (FirstCash Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 14, 2024)

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What is FirstCash Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, FirstCash Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of FirstCash Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, FirstCash Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

FirstCash Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, FirstCash Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FirstCash Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

FirstCash Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.08

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

FirstCash Holdings (NAS:FCFS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

FirstCash Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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FirstCash Holdings (FirstCash Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » FirstCash Holdings Inc (NAS:FCFS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

FF60:Germany

Address

1600 West 7th Street, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76102

Website

https://www.firstcash.com

FirstCash Holdings Inc operates pawn stores in the United States and Latin America. Its primary business involves making small loans secured by personal property. These pawn loans give the borrower the option of either repaying the loans with interest or forfeiting the property without further penalty. Close to 30% of total company revenue comes from interest earned on the loans. Close to 70% of total revenue comes from reselling forfeited property in the company's retail stores. Revenue is split almost equally between loans made in the United States, where the company has more than 300 retail locations, and loans made in Latin America, where the company has over 700 locations in Mexico and several more in Guatemala.

Executives

R Douglas Orr	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	1600 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Douglas Richard Rippel	director, 10 percent owner	8425 MYSTIC LAKES, MAIZE KS 67101
Randel G Owen	director	C/O EMERGENCY MEDICAL SERVICES CORP, 6200 SOUTH SYRACUSE WAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Howard F Hambleton	officer: AFF President	1660 WEST 7TH ST., FORT WORTH TX 76102
Raul Ramos	officer: SVP Latin American Operations	1600 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
James H Graves	director	ERWIN GRAVES & ASSOCIATES, 2100 MCKINNEY AVE STE 900, DALLAS TX 75205
Marthea Davis	director	1600 WEST 7TH ST., FORT WORTH TX 76102
Douglas R. Rippel Revocable Trust	10 percent owner	7570 W. 21ST STREET N, BUILDING 1010, SUITE C, WICHITA KS 67205
Aff Services, Inc.	10 percent owner	7570 W. 21ST STREET N, BUILDING 1010, SUITE C, WICHITA KS 67205
Paula K Garrett	director	1600 WEST 7TH ST, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Mikel D Faulkner	director	180 STATE STREET 200, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Daniel R Feehan	director	CASH AMERICA INTL INC, 1600 W &TH ST, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Thomas Brent Stuart	officer: President and COO	1600 W. 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Anna M Alvarado	officer: General Counsel	1600 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Daniel E Berce	director	801 CHERRY STREET, SUITE 3900, C/O GM FINANCIAL COMPANY, INC., FORT WORTH TX 76102