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First Mid Bancshares (First Mid Bancshares) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is First Mid Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, First Mid Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of First Mid Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Mid Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Mid Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Mid Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Mid Bancshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



First Mid Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.13

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


First Mid Bancshares  (NAS:FMBH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


First Mid Bancshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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First Mid Bancshares (First Mid Bancshares) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1421 Charleston Avenue, Mattoon, IL, USA, 61938
First Mid Bancshares Inc is a United States based financial holding company. Through its wholly-owned subsidiary, First Mid Bank, it is primarily engaged in the business of banking. It also provides data processing services to affiliates and insurance products and services to customers through its subsidiary. The company's operations cover community banking, wealth management and insurance services. Key revenue is derived from the provision of community banking services.
Executives
Todd J James director 400 BROAD ST, BELOITT WI 53511
Clay M Dean officer: SVP-Chief Deposit Services 2816 WESTERN AVE, MATTOON IL 61938
Robert S Cook director 631 S BODIN ST, HINSDALE IL 60521
Laura J Hughes officer: EVP, Chief Marketing & Deposit 1251 DEER CREEK RDG, DUBUQUE IA 52003
Bradley L Beesley officer: Executive VP-Wealth Management 1906 SUNSET AVE, EFFINGHAM IL 62401
James Kyle Mccurry director 302 CAMPUSVIEW DRIVE, SUITE 108, COLUMBIA MO 65201
Gisele A Marcus director 3827 SHAW BOULEVARD, ST. LOUIS MO 63110
Megan E Mcelwee officer: SVP, Chief Credit Officer 18537 E COUNTY ROAD 1280N, CHARLESTON IL 61920
Anya Y Schuetz officer: VP, Director of Project Mgmt 2119 REYNOLDS DRIVE, CHARLESTON IL 61938
Jordan D. Read officer: SVP, Chief Risk Officer 1713 CHANDLER WAY, ST. CHARLES MO 63303
Rhonda G Gatons officer: SVP, Director Human Resources 909 E 625 NORTH ROAD, TOWER HILL IL 62571
Ray A Sparks director 30 S COUNTRY CLUB RD, MATTOON IL 61938
David R. Hiden officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer 1421 CHARLESTON AVE, MATTOON IL 61938
Zachary Horn director 8 SOUTH WASHINGTON STREET, SULLIVAN IL 61951
Mary Westerhold director 6814 GOSHEN ROAD, EDWARDSVILLE IL 62025