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Houston American Energy (Houston American Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.43% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Houston American Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Houston American Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.43%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Houston American Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Houston American Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Houston American Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Houston American Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Houston American Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Houston American Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.43%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Houston American Energy  (AMEX:HUSA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Houston American Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Houston American Energy (Houston American Energy) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
801 Travis Street, Suite 1425, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Houston American Energy Corp is an independent oil and gas company focused on the development, exploration, exploitation, acquisition, and production of natural gas and crude oil properties. Its properties, and operations, are in the U.S. Permian Basin, the U.S. Gulf Coast region, particularly Texas and Louisiana, and in the South American country of Colombia. The company's an exploration and development projects are focused on existing property interests, and future acquisition of additional property interests, in the Texas Permian Basin, the onshore Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast region, and in the South American country of Colombia. The Company majorly has operations in two geographical areas, the United States and Colombia.
Executives
James A Schoonover director 1770 COUNTY ROAD H2, WHITE BEAR TOWNSHIP MN 55110
John F Terwilliger director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO
Bitnile Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Dyke Torbjorn Van officer: VP - Business Development 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 1425, HOUSTON TX 77002
R. Keith Grimes director 13307 GOLDEN VALLEY DR., CYPRESS TX 77429
John P Boylan director 450 WESTHEIMER DR., HOUSTON TX 77024
Stephen Hartzell director 1001 MCKINNEY, SUITE 805, HOUSTON TX 77002
Roy W Jageman director 777 MAIN STREET, C/O ENCORE ACQUISITION CO, FORT WORTH TX 76102
James J Jacobs officer: Chief Financial Officer 801 TRAVIS, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Kenneth Jeffers officer: Senior VP of Exploration 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 1425, HOUSTON TX 77002
Nokomis Capital, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 1717 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 850, DALLAS TX 75202
Brett Hendrickson 10 percent owner 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1740, DALLAS TX 75201
Orrie Lee Tawes director, 10 percent owner CIBC OPPENHEIMER WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, NEW YORK NY 110281
Richard J Howe director 73 SADDLEBROOK LN, HOUSTON TX 77024
J Alex Loftus director 801 TRAVIS, SUITE 1425, HOUSTON TX 77002