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KBR (KBR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is KBR Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, KBR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of KBR's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, KBR's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KBR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, KBR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KBR's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



KBR Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


KBR  (NYSE:KBR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


KBR Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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KBR (KBR) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » KBR Inc (NYSE:KBR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 Jefferson Street, Suite 3400, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
KBR (formerly Kellogg, Brown & Root) is global provider of technology, integrated engineering, procurement, and construction delivery, and operations and maintenance services. The company's business is organized into two segments: government solutions and sustainable technology solutions. KBR has customers in more than 75 countries, with operations in 40, and employs 36,000 people. The firm generated $6.6 billion in revenue in 2022.
Executives
Mark W Sopp officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Sonia Galindo officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. C/O ROSETTA STONE, 1621 NORTH KENT STREET, SUITE 1200, ARLINGTON VA 22209
Bright William Byron Jr. officer: President Gov't Solutions US 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Paul Emmanuel Kahn officer: President Gov't Solutions Intl 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jennifer Myles officer: EVP, Chief People Officer 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Stuart Bradie director, officer: President and CEO 601 JEFFERSON ST, HOUSTON TX 77002
Shad E. Evans officer: SVP of Finance Ops and CAO 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Manzoni John Alexander Kcb director 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Vincent R. Stewart director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Carlos A. Sabater director 1140 ALFONSO AVENUE, CORAL GABLES FL 33146
Lynn A Dugle director 4803 STONECROFT BOULEVARD, CHANTILLY VA 20151
Lester L Lyles director C/O MTC TECHNOLOGIES INC, 4032 LINDEN AVENUE, DAYTON OH 45432
Douglas Nick Kelly officer: President-Technology Solutions 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Gregory Sean Conlon officer: President E&C APAC 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ann Darlene Pickard director 601 JEFFERSON STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002