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aTyr Pharma (aTyr Pharma) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.16% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is aTyr Pharma Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, aTyr Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.16%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of aTyr Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, aTyr Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


aTyr Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, aTyr Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where aTyr Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



aTyr Pharma Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.16%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


aTyr Pharma  (NAS:LIFE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


aTyr Pharma Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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aTyr Pharma (aTyr Pharma) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » aTyr Pharma Inc (NAS:LIFE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10240 Sorrento Valley Road, Suite 300, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
aTyr Pharma Inc is a biotherapeutics company engaged in the discovery and development of first-in-class medicines from its proprietary tRNA synthetase platform. The company has concentrated its research and development efforts on a newly discovered area of biology, the extracellular functionality and signaling pathways of tRNA synthetases. Its primary focus is efzofitimod, a clinical-stage product candidate which targets NRP2 to resolve chronic inflammation that can lead to fibrosis. Efzofitimod has a novel mechanism of action for potentially treating lung inflammation and fibrosis.
Executives
Sanjay Shukla officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ATYR PHARMA, INC., 10240 SORRENTO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Paul Schimmel director 88 SIDNEY ST, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jill Marie Broadfoot officer: Chief Financial Officer 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Sara Zaknoen director C/O IGNYTA, INC., 11095 FLINTKOTE AVENUE, SUITE D, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
John K Clarke director C/O CARDINAL HEALTH PARTNERS, 221 NASSAU STREET, PRINCETON NJ 08542
Nancy Krueger officer: See Remarks C/O ATYR PHARMA, INC., 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Svetlana Lucas director 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Jane A Gross director 2401 4TH AVENUE, SUITE 1050, SEATTLE WA 98121
John Mendlein director, officer: CEO and Executive Chairman
Ecor1 Capital Fund Qualified, L.p. 10 percent owner 357 TEHAMA STREET #3, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Ashraf Amanullah officer: Vice President, Manufacturing C/O ATYR PHARMA, INC., 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
John T Blake officer: Vice President, Finance C/O SECOND SIGHT MEDICAL PRODUCTS, INC., 12744 SAN FERNANDO ROAD, SUITE 400, SYLMAR CA 91342
Timothy P Coughlin director 339 NORTH GRANADOS AVE, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Jeffrey S. Hatfield director 11080 ROSELLE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
David John King officer: See Remarks 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121

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