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Manitowoc Co (Manitowoc Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.10% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Manitowoc Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Manitowoc Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Manitowoc Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Manitowoc Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Manitowoc Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Manitowoc Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Manitowoc Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Manitowoc Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Manitowoc Co  (NYSE:MTW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Manitowoc Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Manitowoc Co (Manitowoc Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11270 West Park Place, Suite 1000, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53224
Manitowoc Co Inc provides engineered lifting solutions. It designs and manufactures mobile telescopic cranes, tower cranes, lattice-boom crawler cranes, and boom trucks. It offers products under brand names such as Grove, Manitowoc, National Crane, Potain, Shuttlelift, and Manitowoc Crane Care. Its crane products serve dealers, rental companies, contractors, and government entities in diverse markets, including energy production/distribution and utility, petrochemical and industrial, infrastructure, and commercial/residential construction. Manitowoc has three reportable segments: the Americas, Europe and Africa, and the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. The Americas segment provides the largest revenue stream to the firm.
Executives
Anne E Belec director C/O THE MANITOWOC COMPANY, INC., 11270 W. PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Jennifer L Peterson officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
James Steele Cook officer: EVP, Human Resources 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Ryan M Palmer officer: VP, Corporate Controller & POA 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
John Charles Pfeifer director ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W. PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Anne M Cooney director ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W. PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Aaron H. Ravenscroft officer: President & CEO ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W. PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Leslie L. Middleton officer: EVP Mobile Cranes THE MANITOWOC COMPANY, INC., ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W PARK PL STE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Brian P Regan officer: VP, Corporate Controller & PAO THE MANITOWOC COMPANY INC ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Kenneth W Krueger director
Robert W Malone director 6035 PARKLAND BOULEVARD, CLEVELAND OH 44124
Amy Rochelle Davis director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Terrance L Collins officer: EVP Human Resources C/O ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 475 HALF DAY ROAD, SUITE 500, LINCOLNSHIRE IL 60069
Charles David Myers director ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W. PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Condon Donald Marion Jr director 2801 POAST OAK BLVD., SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77056