What is Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Insurance - Reinsurance subindustry, Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | -7.45 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.06% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG (Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Koniginstrasse 107, Munich, BY, DEU, 80802
Munich Re was founded in 1880 by Carl Thieme amid a flurry of other reinsurance companies set up independent of primaries. In those early days, most reinsurers typically focussed on a few customers with strong reputations. Thieme focussed on a broader set of cedents in order to drive stronger growth in premiums. This coincided with a strategy of risk diversification and a preference to partner rather than take on a one-sided transfer of risk. In the 1890s, Munich introduced the first machinery insurance. After Thieme and Fink founded Allianz, this was the main channel to sell insurance on machinery. We think the approach of partnering with insurers and preferring to avoid one-sided risk, in conjunction with combining inspection and insurance services, remains at the heart of the firm.
Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG (Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG) Headlines
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