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New England Realty Associates LP (New England Realty Associates LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is New England Realty Associates LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, New England Realty Associates LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of New England Realty Associates LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, New England Realty Associates LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New England Realty Associates LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, New England Realty Associates LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New England Realty Associates LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



New England Realty Associates LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.42

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


New England Realty Associates LP  (AMEX:NEN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


New England Realty Associates LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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New England Realty Associates LP (New England Realty Associates LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
39 Brighton Avenue, Allston, MA, USA, 02134
New England Realty Associates LP is engaged in the business of acquiring, developing, holding for investment, operating and selling real estate. The Partnership owns and operates various residential apartments, condominium units and commercial properties located in Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The company generates revenue from rental income from residential and commercial properties recognized over the term of the related lease. The long-term goals of the Partnership are to manage, rent and improve its properties and to acquire additional properties with income and capital appreciation potential as suitable opportunities arise.
Executives
Jameson Pruitt Brown director, officer: Treasurer NEW ENGLAND REALTY ASSOCIATES LP, 39 BRIGHTON AVENUE, ALLSTON MA 02360
Ronald Brown officer: President NEW ENGLAND REALTY ASSOCIATES LP, 39 BRIGHTON AVENUE, ALLSTON MA 02134
Carl Anthony Valeri other: 5% Owner, Asset Manager 50 UDINE STREET, ARLINGTON MA 02476
Harold Brown director, 10 percent owner, officer: Treas. & Dir. of Gen. Ptnr NEN 39 BRIGHTON AVE, ALLSTON MA 02134
1999 Revocable Trust 10 percent owner C/O NEW ENGLAND REALTY ASSOCIATES LP, 39 BRIGHTON AVENUE, ALLSTON MA 02025
Nera 1994 Irrevocable Trust 10 percent owner, officer: Treasurer C/O LANE AITMAN & OWENS, 101 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
David R Jarvis 10 percent owner C/O MERCURY REAL ESTATE ADVISORS LLC, 100 FIELD POINT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mercury Real Estate Securities Offshore Fund, Ltd. 10 percent owner 100 FIELD POINT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Silvercreek Sav Llc 10 percent owner C/O MERCURY REAL ESTATE ADVISORS LLC, 100 FIELD POINT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mercury Special Situations Offshore Fund Ltd 10 percent owner P O BOX 3460 RD TOWN, TORTOLA BVI E9 00000
Maclean Malcolm F Iv 10 percent owner C/O ASPEN GROUP, INC., 1660 SOUTH ALBION STREET, SUITE 525, DENVER CO 80222
Mercury Real Estate Securities Fund Lp 10 percent owner 100 FIELD POINT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mercury Mayfair Llc 10 percent owner 100 FIELD POINT ROAD, FIRST FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mercury Special Situations Fund L P 10 percent owner 100 FIELD POINT RD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mercury Securities Ii Llc 10 percent owner 100 FIELD POINT ROAD, FIRST FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830

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