NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL Energy Partners LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is NGL Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, NGL Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of NGL Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, NGL Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

NGL Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, NGL Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NGL Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

NGL Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.51

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

NGL Energy Partners LP (NYSE:NGL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

NGL Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL Energy Partners LP) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » NGL Energy Partners LP (NYSE:NGL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

BROG TK TNP EE OSG GPP SMLP PBT BPT MMLP TSX:ENB EPD WMB ET LNG OKE MPLX KMI TSX:TRP CQP

Traded in Other Exchanges

NGLpC.PFD:USA NGLpB.PFD:USA

Address

6120 South Yale Avenue, Suite 805, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74136

Website

https://www.nglenergypartners.com

NGL Energy Partners LP is a us-based firm that owns and operates a vertically integrated energy business. The company's operating segments include Crude Oil Logistics, Water Solutions, and Liquids Logistics. It operates crude oil storage terminals, and owns pipeline injection stations and offers services for the treatment and disposal of wastewater generated from crude oil and natural gas production, and for the disposal of solids, such as tank bottoms and drilling fluids. The firm also supplies natural gas liquids to retailers, wholesalers, refiners and petrochemical plants and sells propane and distillates.

Executives

Bradley P Cooper	officer: CFO & EVP	6120 S YALE AVE SUITE 805, TULSA OK 74136
H Michael Krimbill	director, officer: CEO	8801 S YALE STE 310, TULSA OK 74137
Derek S Reiners	director	100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103
James M Collingsworth	director	1100 LOUISIANA 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
John Ciolek	officer: Exec. Vice President	6120 S. YALE AVE., SUITE 805, TULSA OK 74136
Kurston Patrick Mcmurray	officer: GC, SVP and Secretary	6120 S. YALE AVE., SUITE 805, TULSA OK 74136
Linda J Bridges	officer: CFO & EVP	6120 S. YALE AVE., SUITE 805, TULSA OK 74136
Eig Neptune Equity Aggregator, L.p.	10 percent owner	600 NEW HAMPSHIRE AVE NW, SUITE 1200, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Karlovich Robert W Iii	officer: CFO, Exec. VP and Treasurer	ATLAS PIPELINE PARTNERS, GP, 110 W. 7TH, SUITE 2300, TULSA OK 74119
Brian P. Boland	director	1700 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, SUITE 800, WASHINGTON DC 20006
John T Raymond	10 percent owner	THE ENERGY & MINERALS GROUP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 4200, HOUSTON TX 77002
Highstar Capital Ngl Co-invest Manager Llc	10 percent owner	1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Highstar Ngl Main Interco Llc	10 percent owner	1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Highstar Capital Gp Iv Holdings	10 percent owner	1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ngl Civ A, Llc	10 percent owner	1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019