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Natural Resources Partners LP (Natural Resources Partners LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Natural Resources Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Natural Resources Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.49

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Natural Resources Partners LP  (NYSE:NRP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Natural Resources Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Natural Resources Partners LP (Natural Resources Partners LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1415 Louisiana Street, Suite 3325, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Natural Resources Partners LP is a diversified natural resource company. It is engaged in the business of owning, managing and leasing a diversified portfolio of mineral properties in the United States, including interests in coal, trona and soda ash, crude oil and natural gas, construction aggregates, frac sand, and other natural resources. The company leases coal reserves to experience mine operators under long-term leases that grant the operator the right to mine its coal reserves in exchange for royalty payments. The company operates in two reportable segments namely: Mineral Rights and Soda Ash. the majority of the revenue is generated from the Mineral Rights segment. The business activity of the group functions through the United States.
Executives
Murphy Paul B Jr director OCEANEERING INTERNATIONAL, INC., 11911 FM 529, HOUSTON TX 77041
Philip T Warman officer: General Counsel & Secretary 123 ROBERT S. KERR AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102-6406
Alexander David Greene director 3200 INDUSTRIAL PARK ROAD, VAN BUREN AR 72956
Galdino J. Claro director 350 POPLAR CHURCH ROAD, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Perry W Donahoo officer: CEO of VantaCore 1201 LOUISIANA, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jennifer Lauren Odinet officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1201 LOUISIANA, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Kevin J Craig officer: VP of Business Development PO BOX 2827, HUNTINGTON WV 25727
Jasvinder Khaira director 1201 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Premium Resources, Llc 10 percent owner 1415 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jackson Leon George Iii director 235 MARLBERRY CIRCLE, JUPITER FL 33458
David M Hartz officer: VP, Oil and Gas 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Richard A Navarre director 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Christopher Zolas officer: Chief Accounting Officer 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Craig W Nunez officer: CFO and Treasurer 1401 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77010
Dennis F Coker officer: Vice President - Aggregates 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002