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Odyssey Marine Exploration (Odyssey Marine Exploration) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Odyssey Marine Exploration Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Odyssey Marine Exploration's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Odyssey Marine Exploration's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Odyssey Marine Exploration's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Odyssey Marine Exploration's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Odyssey Marine Exploration's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Odyssey Marine Exploration's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Odyssey Marine Exploration Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.93

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Odyssey Marine Exploration  (NAS:OMEX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Odyssey Marine Exploration Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Odyssey Marine Exploration (Odyssey Marine Exploration) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
205 South Hoover Boulevard, Suite 210, Tampa, FL, USA, 33609
Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc is a deep-ocean exploration company. It is engaged in the discovery, validation, and development of subsea mineral deposits in a socially and environmentally responsible manner. The company works with governments worldwide to identify mineral resources in Exclusive Economic Zones, focusing on phosphorite (fertilizer) and polymetallic nodule (battery metals) projects.
Executives
John Abbott director 101 20TH ST, APT 2706, MIAMI FL 33139
Laura Lionetti Barton officer: EVP, Secretary, Corp Comm 5215 WEST LAUREL STREET, TAMPA FL 33607
Mark B Justh director 5215 WEST LAUREL STREET, TAMPA FL 33607
Christopher Emlyn Jones officer: Chief Financial Officer 205 S HOOVER BLVD STE 210, #210, TAMPA FL 33609
Fourworld Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, FL. 46, NEW YORK NY 10007
John Addis 10 percent owner 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, FLOOR 46, NEW YORK NY 10007
Todd E Siegel director 2003 GANDY BLVD. NORTH, SUITE 800, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33702
Longley John D Jr officer: Chief Operating Officer 5215 WEST LAUREL STREET, TAMPA FL 33607
Jon D Sawyer director 29491 CAMELBACK DRIVE, EVERGREEN CO 80439
James S Pignatelli director 2300 E SLINGSHOT WAY, KAMAS UT 84036
Mark Gordon director, officer: CEO and President 5215 WEST LAUREL STREET, TAMPA FL 33607
Jay Nudi officer: CFO/Treasurer 5215 WEST LAUREL STREET, TAMPA FL 33607
David J Saul director 18 DEVONSHIRE BAY ROAD, DEVONSHIRE D0 DV07
Philip S Devine officer: Chief Financial Officer 5215 WEST LAUREL STREET, TAMPA FL 33607
Michael J Holmes officer: Chief Financial Officer 5215 W LAUREL ST, TAMPA FL 33607