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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (Pebblebrook Hotel Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.37

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Pebblebrook Hotel Trust  (NYSE:PEB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (Pebblebrook Hotel Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE:PEB) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4747 Bethesda Avenue, Suite 1100, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20814
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust currently owns upper-upscale and luxury hotels with 12,134 rooms across 47 hotels in the United States. Pebblebrook acquired LaSalle Hotel Properties, which owned 10,451 rooms across 41 U.S. hotels, in December 2018, though management has sold many of those hotels over the past few years. Pebblebrook's portfolio consists mostly of independent hotels with no brand affiliations, though the combined company does own and operate some hotels under Marriott, Starwood, InterContinental, Hilton, and Hyatt brands.
Executives
Jon E Bortz director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 4747 BETHESDA AVENUE, SUITE 1100, BETHESDA MD 20814
Phillip M. Miller director 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, SUITE 1530, BETHESDA MD 20814
Raymond D Martz officer: Executive VP, and CFO 4747 BETHESDA AVENUE, SUITE 1100, BETHESDA MD 20814
Thomas Charles Fisher officer: CIO 4747 BETHESDA AVENUE, SUITE 1100, BETHESDA MD 20814
Bonny W Simi director 4747 BETHESDA AVENUE, SUITE 1100, BETHESDA MD 20814
Cydney Donnell director MAYS BUSINESS SCHOOL AT TEXAS A&M UNIV, DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE, 306 WEHNER BLDG, COLLEGE STATION TX 77843-4218
Ron E. Jackson director 10319 WESTLAKE DRIVE, SUITE 112, BETHESDA MD 20817
Michael J Schall director C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Martin H. Nesbitt director 10319 WESTLAKE DRIVE, SUITE 112, BETHESDA MD 20817
Laura Wright director 2702 LOVE FIELD DRIVE, P.O. BOX 36611, DALLAS TX 75235-1611
Earl E Webb director AVISON YOUNG, 400 SKOKIE BLVD., SUITE 825, NORTHBROOK IL 60062