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Premier (Premier) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Premier Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Premier's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Premier's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Premier's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Premier's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Premier's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Premier's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Premier Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.25

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Premier  (NAS:PINC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Premier Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Premier (Premier) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13034 Ballantyne Corporate Place, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28277
Premier Inc is a Charlotte, North Carolina-based national group purchasing organization providing primary supply chain services to large hospital systems and more recently to alternate outpatient locations as it expands its footprint. Through acquisitions, the company also offers a compliment of advisory services and consulting services along with software-as-a-service-based subscriptions. The company's revenue is all sourced domestically and is reported in two business segments: the core supply chain services (approximately 70% of fiscal 2019 revenue) and the consulting and technology platform of performance services (approximately 30%).
Executives
Andy Brailo officer: Chief Commercial Officer 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Andrea L. Frohning officer: Chief Human Resource Officer C/O DENTSLY SIRONA INC, 13320 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Crystal Climer officer: Chief Accounting Officer PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Leigh Anderson officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
David L Klatsky officer: General Counsel C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
David Alfred Hargraves officer: SVP, Supply Chain C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Craig S. Mckasson officer: Senior VP & CFO C/O PREMIER INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Jody R Davids director C/O PREMIER INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Lindsay A Powers officer: Sr. VP of People C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Stephen R. D'arcy director 20 BURTON HILLS BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, NASHVILLE TN 37215
William E Mayer director C/O LEE ENTERPRISES INC, 201 N. HARRISON ST., STE. 600, DAVENPORT IA 52801
Helen M Boudreau director 200 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, 4TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
John T. Bigalke director C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Kelli L. Price officer: Sr. VP of People C/O PREMIER INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Susan D. Devore director, officer: President & CEO C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277