Select Medical Holdings (Select Medical Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.47

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Select Medical Holdings (NYSE:SEM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Select Medical Holdings (Select Medical Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Select Medical Holdings Corp (NYSE:SEM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

S24:Germany

Address

4714 Gettysburg Road, P.O. Box 2034, Mechanicsburg, PA, USA, 17055

Website

https://www.selectmedicalholdings.com

Select Medical Holdings Corp is a healthcare company that operates through four main segments: critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and Concentra institutions. Critical illness recovery hospitals and rehabilitation centres are designed for patients requiring extended recovery time with medical services. These two sectors combined compose roughly half of the total revenue and include over 103 critical illness recovery hospitals and inpatient rehab facilities. The outpatient rehabilitation segment includes over 1,928 rehabilitation clinics. The Concentra segment includes over 540 occupational health centers and 147 onsite clinics. The company is headquartered in Pennsylvania, and it operates across the United States.

Executives

Robert A Ortenzio	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	4718 OLD GETTYSBURG RD, POST OFFICE BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 30309
Breighner Robert G. Jr	officer: Vice President, Compliance	C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD, MACHANICSBURG PA 17055
Michael F Malatesta	officer: Senior Vice President, Finance	C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG RD, P.O. BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Christopher Weigl	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD, P.O. BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
David S Chernow	officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O JUNIOR ACHIEVEMENT INC, ONE EDUCATION WAY, COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80906
Parvinderjit S. Khanuja	director	C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG RD, P.O. BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Marilyn B Tavenner	director	13600 BUTLERS ROAD, AMELIA COURT HOUSE VA 23002
Michael E Tarvin	officer: Executive Vice President	4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD, PO BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Martin F Jackson	officer: Executive Vice President	4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD, PO BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Katherine R Davisson	director	C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD, P.O. BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Ely James S. Iii	director	4000 MERIDIAN BLVD, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Scott A Romberger	officer: Senior Vice President	4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD, PO BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Thomas P Mullin	officer: Executive Vice President	C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD, P.O. BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Leopold Swergold	director
Daniel Thomas	director	C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION, 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD P.O. BOX 2034, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055