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Safe & Green Holdings (Safe & Green Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Safe & Green Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Safe & Green Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Safe & Green Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Safe & Green Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safe & Green Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Safe & Green Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safe & Green Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Safe & Green Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Safe & Green Holdings  (NAS:SGBX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Safe & Green Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Safe & Green Holdings (Safe & Green Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
990 Biscayne Boulevard, No. 501, Office 12, Miami, FL, USA, 33132
Safe & Green Holdings Corp is a modular solutions company. The company currently provides modules made out of both code-engineered cargo shipping containers and wood for use as both permanent or temporary structures for residential housing use and commercial use, including for health care facilities. It operates in four segments: construction; medical; real estate development; and environmental. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Construction segment which designs and constructs modular structures built in their factories using raw materials that are Made-in-America.
Executives
Thomas Meharey director 990 BISCAYNE BLVD., SUITE 501, MIAMI FL 33132
Jill Ellen Anderson director 990 BISCAYNE BLVD., SUITE 501, MIAMI FL 33132
Vanessa Villaverde director 990 BISCAYNE BLVD., SUITE 501, MIAMI FL 33132
Patricia Kaelin officer: Chief Financial Officer 990 BISCAYNE, #501, OFFICE 12, MIAMI FL 33132
Elizabeth Cormier-may director 5011 GATE PARKWAY, BUILDING 100, JACKSONVILLE FL 32256
Shafron E. Hawkins director 5011 GATE PARKWAY, BUILDING 100, JACKSONVILLE FL 32256
John William Shaw 10 percent owner 1005 E. LAS TUNAS DR., #116, SAN GABRIEL CA 91776
Gerald Anthony Sheeran officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer C/O SG BLOCKS, INC., 195 MONTAGUE STREET, 14TH FLOOR, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Margaret Coleman director 195 MONATGUE STREET, 14TH FLOOR, 14TH FLOOR, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Yaniv Blumenfeld director C/O SG BLOCKS, INC., 195 MONTAGUE STREET, 14TH FLOOR, BROOKLYN NY 11201
David Roberto Villarreal director 17 STATE STREET, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Joseph Safina director 1320 SEMINOLE DRIVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
William Jeffrey Rogers officer: Chief Operating Officer 17 STATE STREET, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Mahesh S Shetty director, officer: CFO 429 MEMORY LANE, MARSHALL TX 75672
Swets Larry G Jr 10 percent owner 105 S. MAPLE ST., ITASCA IL 60143

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