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Stag Industrial (Stag Industrial) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Stag Industrial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Stag Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Stag Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Stag Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stag Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Stag Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stag Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Stag Industrial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.01

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Stag Industrial  (NYSE:STAG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Stag Industrial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Stag Industrial (Stag Industrial) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Stag Industrial Inc (NYSE:STAG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Federal Street, 23rd Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Stag Industrial Inc is a real estate investment trust that is involved in the acquisition and operation of both single- and multi-tenant properties, although the majority of the portfolio is single-tenant industrial properties throughout the United States. The vast majority of the company's real estate portfolio is comprised of warehouse and distribution buildings. Stag Industrial derives nearly all of its income in the form of rental income from its portfolio of warehouse and distribution properties. The company generates most of its rental revenue from its facilities located in Midwestern and Eastern U.S. cities. Stag Industrial's largest customers include air freight and logistics, automotive, and industrial equipment companies in terms of overall revenue.
Executives
Jaclyn Paul officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jeffrey M Sullivan officer: EVP, GC and Secretary ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
William R Crooker officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Benjamin S Butcher director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Steven T. Kimball officer: EVP ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Michael Chase officer: EVP and CIO ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Hans S Weger director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Michelle Dilley director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jit Kee Chin director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jacoby Francis X Iii director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jeffrey D. Furber director AEW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., TWO SEAPORT LANE, BOSTON MA 02210
Virgis Colbert director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Christopher P Marr director 460 E. SWEDESFORD ROAD, SUITE 3000, WAYNE PA 19087
Matts Pinard officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Stephen C Mecke officer: COO and EVP ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110

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