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Thermon Group Holdings (Thermon Group Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Thermon Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Thermon Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Thermon Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Thermon Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thermon Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Thermon Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thermon Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Thermon Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Thermon Group Holdings  (NYSE:THR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Thermon Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Thermon Group Holdings (Thermon Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7171 Southwest Parkway, Building 300, Suite 200, Austin, TX, USA, 78735
Thermon Group Holdings Inc is a United States-based company that provides engineered thermal solutions for process industries. The company's product portfolio comprises electric heat tracing cables, steam tracing components, tubing bundles, and instrument and control products, as well as complementary product lines. It also provides turnkey services and design and engineering services. The company's customers include large engineering, procurement, and construction companies; oil and gas companies; commercial subcontractors; electrical component distributors; and others. The company has a presence, with the United States, Canada, and Europe being its top three markets and contributing the majority of its sales.
Executives
Kevin J Mcginty director 6688 N CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 1170, DALLAS TX 75206
Nesser John T Iii director 777 N ELDRIDGE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77079
Kevin Fox officer: VP - Corporate Development 7171 SOUTHWEST PKWY, BLD. 300 STE. 200, AUSTIN TX 78735
Candace Harris-peterson officer: VP, Human Resources 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 300, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78735
Angela Strzelecki director INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES INC., 521 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bruce Thames officer: Executive VP and COO 100 THERMON DRIVE, SAN MARCOS TX 78666
Kuahara Roberto officer: SVP, Operations 7171 SOUTHWEST PKWY, BLD. 300, STE. 200, AUSTIN TX 78735
Van Der Salm Johannes Rene officer: SVP-Global Operations 100 THERMON DRIVE, SAN MARCOS TX 78666
Michael W Press director P O BOX 327, GATES MILLS OH 44040
James Pribble officer: SVP, Thermon Heating Systems 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 300, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78735
John U Clarke director PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION, FOUR RADNOR CORPORATE CENTER, STE 200, RADNOR PA 19087
Roger L Fix director
Tarkington Ryan officer: General Counsel & Corp. Sec. 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 300, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78735
David Buntin officer: SVP, Thermon Heat Tracing 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 300, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78735
Mark John Roberts officer: SVP, Global Engineering 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 300, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78735