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Universal Electronics (Universal Electronics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.10% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Universal Electronics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Universal Electronics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Universal Electronics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Universal Electronics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Universal Electronics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Universal Electronics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Universal Electronics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Universal Electronics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Universal Electronics  (NAS:UEIC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Universal Electronics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Universal Electronics (Universal Electronics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15147 N. Scottsdale Road, Suite H300, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85254-2494
Universal Electronics Inc is a United States-based company that is principally engaged in developing and manufacturing a series of electronic products, including wireless control products, audio-video accessories, intelligent wireless automation components, and software. The company focuses on the subscription broadcast, consumer electronics and residential security markets, with customers consisting of subscription broadcasters, original equipment manufacturer, private-label brands, retailers, pro-security dealers, and companies in the computing industry. The company has a global presence and generates most of its total revenue from the United States.
Executives
Toro 18 Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 2999 N.E. 191ST STREET, SUITE 610, AVENTURA FL 33180
Eric Singer 10 percent owner 323 SUNNY ISLES BLVD., SUITE 700, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
William C Martin 10 percent owner C/O RAGING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, TEN PRINCETON AVENUE, PO BOX 228, ROCKY HILL NJ 08553
Immersion Corp 10 percent owner 2999 N. E. 191ST STREET, SUITE 610, AVENTURA FL 33180
Bryan M Hackworth officer: Vice President and CFO 201 EAST SANDPOINTE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Edward K Zinser director 201 EAST SANDPOINTE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Chong David Cheung Hyen officer: Executive Vice President -Asia 201 EAST SANDPOINTE AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Paul D Arling director, officer: CEO 201 EAST SANDPOINTE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Romulo Pontual director 15147 N SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE H300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
William C Mulligan director 201 EAST SANDPOINTE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Richard K Carnifax officer: V.P. Global Operations 15147 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE H300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Satjiv S Chahil director 201 EAST SANDPOINTE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Firehammer Richard A Jr officer: Senior Vice Presiden 201 E. SANDPOINTE AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Ramzi Ammari officer: Sr.VP Corp Planning & Strategy 15147 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85268
Joseph Miketo officer: Sr. VP Operations 15147 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254