Universal Technical Institute (Universal Technical Institute) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Universal Technical Institute Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Universal Technical Institute's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Universal Technical Institute's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Universal Technical Institute's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Universal Technical Institute's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Universal Technical Institute's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Universal Technical Institute's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Universal Technical Institute Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.30

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Universal Technical Institute (NYSE:UTI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Universal Technical Institute Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Universal Technical Institute (Universal Technical Institute) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Education » Universal Technical Institute Inc (NYSE:UTI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

UTI:Germany UTI:Germany

Address

4225 East Windrose Drive, Suite 200, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85032

Website

https://www.uti.edu

Universal Technical Institute Inc is an educational institution. It provides undergraduate degree, as well as certificate programs for technicians in the automotive, diesel, collision repair, motorcycle and marine fields. The company's reportable segment includes Universal Technical Institute (UTI) and Concorde Career Colleges. Majority of the revenue is generated from UTI segment which provides different kinds of degree and non-degree transportation and skilled trades technical training programs under brands such as Universal Technical Institute, Motorcycle Mechanics Institute, Marine Mechanics Institute and others. It also provides dealer technician training or instructor staffing services to manufacturers.

Executives

Troy R Anderson	officer: EVP and CFO	16220 N SCOTTSDALE RD, SUITE 500, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Loretta Lydia Sanchez	director	4225 E. WINDROSE DRIVE, SUITE 200, PHOENIX AZ 85032
Coliseum Capital Management, Llc	10 percent owner	105 ROWAYTON AVENUE, ROWAYTON CT 06853
Tracy Kay Lorenz	officer: UTI Division President	4225 E. WINDROSE DRIVE, SUITE 200, PHOENIX AZ 85032
Michael A. Slubowski	director	4225 E. WINDROSE DRIVE, SUITE 200, PHOENIX AZ 85032
Jami J. Frazier	officer: Division President	4225 E. WINDROSE DRIVE, SUITE 200, PHOENIX AZ 85032
Jerome Alan Grant	officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer	16220 N. SCOTTSDALE RD., SUITE 100, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Shannon Lei Okinaka	director	C/O HAWAIIAN HOLDINGS, INC., 3375 KOAPAKA STREET, SUITE G-350, HONOLULU HI 96819
Kimberly J Mcwaters	director, officer: CEO and President	20410 NORTH 19TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Bart Fesperman	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	4225 EAST WINDROSE DRIVE, SUITE 200, PHOENIX AZ 85032
Sonia Claire Mason	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	4225 EAST WINDROSE DRIVE, SUITE 200, PHOENIX AZ 85032
George W. Brochick	director	2555 TELEGRAPH RD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Christopher E. Kevane	officer: SVP Chief Legal Officer	9221 E. VIA DE VENTURA, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85258
Robert Thomas Devincenzi	director	825 E MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Lori B Smith	officer: SVP Chief Information Officer	16220 N SCOTTSDALE RD, SUITE 500, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254