GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Video Display Corp (OTCPK:VIDE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Video Display (Video Display) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

What is Video Display Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Video Display Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-12.21

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Video Display  (OTCPK:VIDE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Video Display Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Video Display's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Video Display (Video Display) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Video Display Corp (OTCPK:VIDE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5155 King Street, Cocoa, FL, USA, 32926
Video Display Corp is a provider and manufacturer of video products, components, and systems for the visual display and presentation of electronic information media in a range of requirements and environments. It designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, distributes, and installs display products and systems, from basic components to systems, for Government, military, aerospace, medical, industrial, and commercial organizations. The company operates in one segment which is simulation, training, and display products. Its products lines include Dome Aircraft Simulator Display Systems, Multi-Faceted Aircraft Simulator Display Systems, Video Walls for Broadcast and Control Centers, Rugged Flat Panel Displays and Computers, Projector and Monitor Upgrades, and Projection Screens.
Executives
Ronald D Ordway director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 1868 TUCKER INDL RD, TUCKER GA 30084
Jonathan R Ordway 10 percent owner
David Saunders Cooper director 2476 OLDFIELD ROAD NW, ATLANTA GA 30327
Lusby Roger Winfield Iii director 5604 BAHIA MAR CIRCLE, STONE MOUNTAIN GA 30087
Gregory Lee Osborn director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 1374 CARRINGTON WAY, LAWRENCEVILLE GA 30044
David Allen Heiden officer: President & COO 6078 WINDSONG WAY, STONE MOUNTAIN GA 30087
Ervin Kuczogi director P O BOX 353, WHITE MILLS PA 18473
Michael Delen Boyd officer: CFO 1451 BEVERLY DRIVE, ATHENS GA 30606
Thibeault Ernest Joseph Iii director 603 OLD MAMMOTH ROAD, LONDONDERRY NH 03053
Carolyn C Howard director 279 MOUNTAIN ROAD, JAFFREY NH 03452
Carleton E Sawyer director C/O VIDEO DISPLAY CORP, 13 PINE RIDGE RD, LOUDON NH 03307-0830
Murray G Fox director, officer: CEO - Fox International, Ltd
Carol D Franklin officer: CFO
Peter Frend director 1107 LIBERTY SQUARE RD, BOXBOROUGH MA 01719

Video Display (Video Display) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Video Display Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-Q)

By gurufocus 10qk 01-14-2011

Video Display Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-Q)

By gurufocus 10qk 10-15-2010

Video Display Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-Q)

By gurufocus 10qk 10-15-2009

Video Display Corp. (vide) CEO Ronald D Ordway buys 3,530 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 09-29-2010

Video Display Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-K)

By gurufocus 10qk 05-28-2010

Video Display Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-Q)

By gurufocus 10qk 01-14-2010

Video Display Corp. (vide) CEO Ronald D Ordway buys 1,000 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 08-09-2010

Video Display Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-Q)

By gurufocus 10qk 07-19-2010