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Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Lodging subindustry, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Wyndham Hotels & Resorts  (NYSE:WH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22 Sylvan Way, Parsippany, NJ, USA, 07054
As of Dec. 31, 2022, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts operates 843,000 rooms across more than 20 brands predominantly in the economy and midscale segments. Super 8 is the largest brand, representing around 19% of all rooms, with Days Inn (14%) and Ramada (14%) the next two largest brands. During the past several years, the company has expanded its extended stay/lifestyle brands, which appeal to travelers seeking to experience the local culture of a given location. Wyndham launched a new extended stay economy scale segment concept, ECHO, in the spring of 2022. The United States represents roughly 60% of total rooms. The company closed its La Quinta acquisition in the second quarter of 2018, adding around 90,000 rooms at the time the deal closed.
Executives
Nicola Rossi officer: Chief Accounting Officer WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE CORPORATION, 7 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Lisa Checchio officer: Chief Marketing Officer 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Michele Allen officer: Chief Financial Officer 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Paul F Cash director, officer: Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. C/O WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC., 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Scott R. Strickland officer: Chief Info. Officer C/O WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC., 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Scott Lepage officer: President, the Americas WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC., 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Stephen P Holmes director C/O CENDANT, 9 WEST 57TH, NEW YORK NY 10019
Monica Melancon officer: Chief Human Resource Officer WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC., 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Ronald L Nelson director
Mary R Falvey officer: Chief Admin. Officer WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE CORPORATION, 7 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Geoffrey A Ballotti director, officer: President & Chief Exec Officer 36 S. PENNSYLVANIA STREET, SUITE 500, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Thomas Hunter Barber officer: Chief Stra & Dev Officer C/O WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC., 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
David B Wyshner director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O XPO LOGISTICS, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Pauline Richards director ARIES PARTNERS AND ARMOUR REINSURANCE LT, 11 CHURCH STREET, P.O. BOX HM 66, HAMILTON HM 11 D0 00000
Myra J Biblowit director THE BREAST CANCER RESEARCH FOUNDATION, 60 EAST 56TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022