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Asbury Automotive Group (Asbury Automotive Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 30.87% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Asbury Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Asbury Automotive Group's forward rate of return for was 30.87%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ABG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.51   Med: 19.58   Max: 37.21
Current: 31.02

During the past 13 years, Asbury Automotive Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 37.21. The lowest was -5.51. And the median was 19.58.

ABG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
96.37% of 936 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 5.515 vs ABG: 31.02

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Asbury Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asbury Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Asbury Automotive Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.67 14.27 28.57 33.14 30.87

Asbury Automotive Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.89 30.42 30.88 30.87 -

Competitive Comparison of Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Asbury Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=25.57314286/235.78+0.2
=30.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Asbury Automotive Group  (NYSE:ABG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Asbury Automotive Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Asbury Automotive Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Asbury Automotive Group (Asbury Automotive Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2905 Premiere Parkway North West, Suite 300, Duluth, GA, USA, 30097
Asbury Automotive Group is a regional collection of automobile dealerships that went public in March 2002. The company operates 138 new-vehicle stores, seven used-vehicle stores, and 32 collision centers. Over 70% of new-vehicle revenue is from luxury and import brands. Asbury also offers third-party financing and insurance products and its own F&I products via Total Care Auto. Asbury operates in 14 states (mostly Texas, the West, and the Southeast). Asbury store brands include David McDavid and Park Place in Texas, and the Larry H. Miller brand in the Western U.S. It plans to acquire Koons in the Washington, D.C. area in late 2023 or early 2024. Asbury generated $15.4 billion of revenue in 2022 and is based in the Atlanta area. The firm targets about $32 billion in 2025.
Executives
Daniel Clara officer: SVP, Operations C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, STE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Philip F Maritz director C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, STE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
George A Villasana officer: VP & General Counsel 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Miran Maric officer: SVP, Strategy & Innovation C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Bridget Ryan Berman director 161 FALCON ROAD, GUILFORD CT 06437
David W Hult officer: EVP & COO 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Jed Milstein officer: VP & CHRO 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Nathan Edward Briesemeister officer: VP, Controller & CAO C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Terry Hilliard C. Iii director ONE SW COLUMBIA ST STE 1200, PORTLAND OR 97258
Michael Welch officer: SVP & CFO C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
David C Abrams 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY ST., 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116