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Amcon Distributing Co (Amcon Distributing Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 30.73% (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Amcon Distributing Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Amcon Distributing Co's forward rate of return for was 30.73%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

DIT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.43   Med: 5.11   Max: 32.26
Current: 32.26

During the past 13 years, Amcon Distributing Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 32.26. The lowest was -12.43. And the median was 5.11.

DIT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
91.27% of 229 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 16.45 vs DIT: 32.26

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Amcon Distributing Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amcon Distributing Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Amcon Distributing Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.86 -7.26 18.28 21.65 23.02

Amcon Distributing Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.99 24.63 23.02 25.57 30.73

Competitive Comparison of Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Amcon Distributing Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=19.74019048/184+0.2
=30.73 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amcon Distributing Co  (AMEX:DIT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Amcon Distributing Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amcon Distributing Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amcon Distributing Co (Amcon Distributing Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7405 Irvington Road, Omaha, NE, USA, 68122
Amcon Distributing Co is engaged in the wholesale and retail distribution of consumer products such as cigarettes, tobacco, confectionery, health food, and others. It operates in two segments: Wholesale distribution segment distributing consumer products to the retail outlets including convenience stores, grocery stores, liquor stores, drug stores, and tobacco shops in the Central, Rocky Mountain, and Southern regions of the United States; and the Retail health food segment is a specialty retailer of natural/organic groceries and dietary supplements throughout the Midwest and Florida. The company earns a majority of the revenue from the Wholesale distribution segment.
Executives
Kathleen M Evans director, officer: President 15701 NORTH 47TH ST, OMAHA NE 68152
Charles J. Schmaderer officer: VP,Controller,Secretary 7405 IRVINGTON ROAD, OMAHA NE 68122
Jeremy W Hobbs director 444 NORTH MICHIGAN AVE, STE 2050, CHICAGO IL 60611
John R Loyack director ALVARADO SQUARE MS 2818, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87158
William F Wright director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman 1431 STRATFORD CT, DEL MAR CA 92014
Timothy R Pestotnik director 600 W BROADWAY, STE 2600, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Stanley Mayer director
Christopher H Atayan director, officer: CEO and Vice Chairman C/O SLUSSER ASSOCIATES, INC., 153 EAST 53RD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Andrew Charles Plummer officer: Chief Financial Officer 18325 JEFFERSON ST, OMAHA NE 68135
Eric J Hinkefent officer: President of CNF and HFA ROUTE 5, BOX 445, COWETA OK 74429
Raymond F Bentele director C/O MALLINCKRODT GROUP INC, 7733 FORSYTH BLVD, ST LOUIS MO 63105
Philip E Campbell officer: SVP - Planning and Compliance 1302 ELMSHADE COVE, ROUND ROCK TX 78664
Draupnir Llc 10 percent owner 500 N DEARBORN, 2ND FL, CHICAGO IL 60610
Allen D Petersen director, 10 percent owner 122 WEST COUNTY LINE ROAD, BARRINGTON HILLS IL 60010
Dawson Foundation Alexander 10 percent owner 4045 SOUTH SPENCER STREEET, SUITE 312, LAS VEGAS NV 89119

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