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Echo Global Logistics (Echo Global Logistics) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 20.23% (As of Sep. 2021)


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What is Echo Global Logistics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Echo Global Logistics's forward rate of return for was 20.23%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ECHO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 11.765
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Echo Global Logistics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Echo Global Logistics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Echo Global Logistics Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.29 7.96 17.72 23.15 18.90

Echo Global Logistics Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.80 18.90 18.44 20.02 20.23

Competitive Comparison of Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Echo Global Logistics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.67866667/47.71+0.1671
=20.23 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Echo Global Logistics  (NAS:ECHO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Echo Global Logistics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Echo Global Logistics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Echo Global Logistics (Echo Global Logistics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
600 West Chicago Avenue, Suite 725, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Founded in 2005, Echo Global Logistics is an asset-light third-party logistics provider primarily focused on domestic truckload and less-than-truckload brokerage. It also offers intermodal and international air and ocean freight forwarding services, though to a lesser degree. Key strategic initiatives include gaining organic market share in the highly fragmented brokerage industry and supplementing its sales capabilities through tuck-in acquisitions. Echo completed its initial public offering in October 2009.
Executives
Douglas R Waggoner director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Matthew Wagner Ferguson director C/O ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS, INC. 600 W CHICAGO AVE, SUITE 725 CHICAGO IL 60654
Samuel K Skinner director 233 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
David B Menzel officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS, INC. 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 725 CHICAGO IL 60654
Douglas Hong officer: Controller 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE SUITE 725 CHICAGO IL 60654
Peter Rogers officer: Controller C/O ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS 600 W. CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 725 CHICAGO IL 60654
Kyle Sauers officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS, 600 W. CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 725, CHICAGO IL 60654
Virginia Henkels director SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY, 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85043
Farrow William M Iii director C/O CBOE GLOBAL MARKETS, INC., 433 WEST VAN BUREN STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Paul Loeb director 600 W. CHICAGO AVENUE SUITE 725 CHICAGO IL 60654
Bradley A Keywell director
Eric P Lefkofsky director, 10 percent owner 501 SILVERSIDE ROAD SUITE 87F, WILMONGTON DE 19809
Evan Schumacher officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS 600 W. CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 725 CHICAGO IL 60654
Nelda J Connors director BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
John R Walter director 401 NORTH AHWAHNEE RD, LAKE FOREST IL 60045

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