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Federal-Mogul Holdings (Federal-Mogul Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -34.07% (As of Sep. 2016)


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What is Federal-Mogul Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Federal-Mogul Holdings's forward rate of return for was -34.07%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FDML's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Industry Median: 5.52
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Federal-Mogul Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Federal-Mogul Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Federal-Mogul Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.82 1.62 -2.44 -14.03 -50.34

Federal-Mogul Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -49.24 -50.34 -42.93 -39.89 -34.07

Competitive Comparison of Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Federal-Mogul Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-1.39752381/9.61+-0.1953
=-34.07 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Federal-Mogul Holdings  (NAS:FDML) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Federal-Mogul Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Federal-Mogul Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Federal-Mogul Holdings (Federal-Mogul Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Federal-Mogul Holdings Corp is supplier of technology and innovation in vehicle and industrial products for fuel economy, emissions reduction and safety systems. It supplies components, accessories and systems to the automotive, small engine, heavy-duty, marine, railroad, agricultural, off-road, aerospace and energy, industrial and transportation markets, including customers in both the original equipment manufacturers and services market and the replacement market. The Company operates in two segments, Powertrain and Motorparts. The Powertrain segment focuses on original equipment products for automotive, heavy duty and industrial applications. The Motorparts segment sells and distributes a broad portfolio of products in the aftermarket including more than 20 brands. It also serves original equipment manufacturers with products including braking, wipers, and a limited range of chassis. It has operations in markets including Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States, and emerging markets including Argentina, Brazil, China, Czech Republic, Hungary, India, Korea, Mexico, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey and Venezuela. The Company's operations, consistent with those of the manufacturing sector in general, are subject to numerous existing and proposed laws and governmental regulations designed to protect the environment, particularly regarding plant wastes and emissions and solid waste disposal.
Executives
Carl C Icahn 10 percent owner C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH-1, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
Rainer Jueckstock director, officer: See Remarks 27300 WEST 11 MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Michael Nevin director C/O ICAHN CAPITAL LP, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4700, NEW YORK NY 10153
John Patouhas officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer C/O FEDERAL-MOGUL HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 27300 WEST 11 MILE ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Louis Pastor director C/O XEROX CORPORATION, 201 MERRITT 7, NORWALK CT 06851
Mather Courtney director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Jerome Rouquet officer: VP, Controller & CAO 26555 NORTHWESTERN HIGHWAY, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Brett D Pynnonen officer: Sr VP, Genl Counsel & Secy 26555 NORTHWESTERN HIGHWAY, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Kevin P Freeland officer: See Remarks 5008 AIRPORT RD, ROANOKE VA 24012
Hunter Clark Gary director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Michael T Broderick officer: CEO, Aftermarket Division 26555 NORTHWESTERN HIGHWAY, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Sunghwan Cho director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Alan Haughie officer: Senior VP & CFO 860 RIDGE LAKE BLVD., MEMPHIS TN 38120
Jean Brunol officer: SVP, Business & Ope Strategy 26555 NORTHWESTERN HIGHWAY SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Ramzi Hermiz officer: SVP, Vehicle Safety & Pro. 880 STEEL DRIVE VALLEY CITY OH 44280

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