What is Health Net Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Health Net's forward rate of return for was 20.54%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
HNT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Healthcare Plans industry.
Industry Median: 15.9 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Health Net Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Health Net Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Healthcare Plans subindustry, Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Healthcare Plans Industry
For the Healthcare Plans industry and Healthcare sector, Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Health Net Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Health Net's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2015 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
3.22361905
/
68.46
+
0.1583
=
20.54 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Health Net (NYSE:HNT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Health Net Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Health Net's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Health Net Inc was incorporated in the state of Delaware on 1990. The Company is an integrated managed care organization that delivers managed health care services. The Company's health plans and government contracts subsidiaries provide health benefits through its health maintenance organizations (HMOs), insured preferred provider organizations (PPOs) and point of service (POS). Its subsidiaries also offer managed health care products related to behavioral health and prescription drugs. The Company also owns health and life insurance companies licensed to sell exclusive provider organization (EPO), PPO, POS and indemnity products as well as auxiliary non-health products such as life and accidental death and dismemberment, dental, vision, behavioral health and disability insurance. These products are offered by its health and life insurance subsidiaries, which are licensed to sell insurance in approximately 49 states and the District of Columbia. It operates within three reportable segments: West Operations, Northeast Operations and Government Contracts. The Company's West Operations segment includes the operations of its commercial, Medicare and Medicaid health plans, the operations of its health and life insurance companies and its behavioral health and pharmaceutical services subsidiaries in Arizona, California and Oregon. The Company offers a full spectrum of managed health care products and services. It offers a range of Medicare products, including Medicare Advantage plans with and without prescription drug coverage, Medicare Part D stand-alone prescription drug plans ('PDP'), and Medicare supplement products that supplement traditional fee-for-service Medicare coverage. Its portfolio of Medicare Advantage plans focuses on simplicity so that members can sign up and use benefits with minimal paperwork and receive coverage that starts immediately upon enrollment. The Company provides ASO products to large employer groups in California. Its Government Contracts segment includes its TRICARE contract for the North Region and other health care-related government contracts that it administers for the U.S. Department of Defense (the 'Department of Defense') and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. Certain components of these contracts are subcontracted to unrelated third parties. Its wholly-owned subsidiary, Health Net Federal Services, LLC ('HNFS'), administers a large managed care federal contract with the Department of Defense under the TRICARE program in the North Region. The Company maintains a network of qualified physicians, hospitals and other health care providers in each of the states in which it offers network based managed care products and services. It markets its products and services to individuals and employer groups through inside sales staff, independent brokers, agents and consultants and through the Internet. The Company operates in a highly competitive environment in an industry. Its health plans face subst
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