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PhenixFIN (PhenixFIN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 43.90% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is PhenixFIN Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PhenixFIN's forward rate of return for was 43.90%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PFX' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -99.67   Med: 41.88   Max: 484.64
Current: 40.95

During the past 13 years, PhenixFIN's highest Forward Rate of Return was 484.64. The lowest was -99.67. And the median was 41.88.

PFX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
97.26% of 1203 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 5.67 vs PFX: 40.95

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PhenixFIN Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PhenixFIN Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

PhenixFIN Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.27 229.41 74.83 65.47 36.15

PhenixFIN Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 70.32 62.50 51.32 36.15 43.90

Competitive Comparison of PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Asset Management subindustry, PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



PhenixFIN Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=21.13790476/42.2473+-0.0613
=43.90 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PhenixFIN  (NAS:PFX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PhenixFIN Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PhenixFIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PhenixFIN (PhenixFIN) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
445 Park Avenue, 10th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10022
PhenixFIN Corp formerly Medley Capital Corp is a non-diversified closed end management investment company operating in United States. Its investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation by lending directly to privately held middle market companies to expand their business, refinance and make acquisitions. It mainly invests in senior secured first lien term loans, senior secured second lien term loans, unitranche, senior secured first lien notes, subordinated notes and warrants and minority equity securities. It may also invest in securities of foreign companies. Portfolio of the company mainly consists of securities across all sectors. Revenue generated by the company comprises of interest income, dividend and other income earned through investments made.
Executives
Ellida Mcmillan officer: CFO & Chief Accounting Officer C/O ALCENTRA CAPITAL CORP., 200 PARK AVE, 7TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10166
David A Lorber director C/O FRONTFOUR CAPITAL GROUP LLC, 35 MASON STREET, 4TH FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Howard Amster director 23811 CHAGRIN BLVD # 200, BEACHWOOD OH 44122-5525
Arthur S Ainsberg director C/O ANGELO, GORDON & CO., L.P., 245 PARK AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Karin Hirtler-garvey director 112 W. 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10120
Lowell W Robinson director 470 WEST END AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10024
Fortress Investment Group Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Drawbridge Special Opportunities Fund Lp 10 percent owner C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Operating Entity I Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Corp. 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Db Med Investor I Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Drawbridge Special Opportunities Gp Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Drawbridge Special Opportunites Fund Ltd 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Principal Investment Holdings Iv Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105