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Carmike Cinemas (Carmike Cinemas) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -3.27% (As of Sep. 2016)


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What is Carmike Cinemas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Carmike Cinemas's forward rate of return for was -3.27%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CKEC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 7.87
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Carmike Cinemas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carmike Cinemas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Carmike Cinemas Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.85 54.31 24.30 8.17 3.29

Carmike Cinemas Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.65 3.29 0.42 -1.63 -3.27

Competitive Comparison of Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Broadcasting subindustry, Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Carmike Cinemas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.00742857/32.69+-0.0635
=-3.27 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carmike Cinemas  (NAS:CKEC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Carmike Cinemas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Carmike Cinemas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Carmike Cinemas (Carmike Cinemas) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Carmike Cinemas Inc was organized in the state of Delaware in April 1982. The Company is a motion picture exhibitor in the United States and as of December 31, 2013, it owned, operated or had an interest in 252 theatres with 2,660 screens located in 37 states. The Company target small to mid-size non-urban markets with the belief that they provide a number of operating benefits, including lower operating costs and fewer alternative forms of entertainment. Its theatres are equipped to provide digital cinema and as of December 31, 2013, it had 240 theatres with 2,552 screens on a digital-based platform. In addition, Company had 233 theatres with 983 screens equipped for 3-D as of December 31, 2013. At December 31, 2013, it operated 15 theatres with 107 screens as discount theatres. The Company obtains licenses to exhibit films by directly negotiating with film distributors. It license films through its booking office located in Columbus, Georgia. The Company typically enters into film licenses that provide for rental fees based on firm terms which are negotiated and established prior to the opening of the picture; mutually agreed settlement upon the conclusion of the film run; or a sliding scale formula which is based on a percentage of the box office receipts using a pre-determined and agreed-upon film rental scale. The Company utilizes a point-of-sale system in its theatres developed by Allure Global Solutions, Inc., its point-of-sale system allows to centralize theatre-level administrative functions at its corporate headquarters. It allows corporate management to monitor ticket and concession sales and box office and concession staffing on a daily basis, enabling theatre managers to focus on the day-to-day operation of the theatre. The point-of-sale systems also facilitate services such as advanced ticket sales and Internet ticket sales. The Company owns or has rights to trademarks or trade-names that are used in conjunction with the operations of its theatres. It owns Carmike Cinemas and Hollywood Connection, the Carmike C and its film strip design, Big D, Carmike Rewards, Ovation Club, Muvico, MuviXL, and Wynnsong Cinemas trademarks. In addition, its logo is its trademark. Coca-Cola, Rave Reviews Cinemas, L.L.C., Cinemark USA, Inc., Christie, RealD, Screenvision, Showtime Concession Supply, Inc., Continental Concession Supplies, Inc., Allure Global Solutions, Inc. Bogarts and IMAX are registered trademarks. The Company competes with other motion picture exhibitors and a number of other film delivery methods, including DVDs, video-on-demand, pay-per view services and downloads via the Internet. It also competes for the publics leisure time and disposable income with all forms of entertainment, including sporting events, concerts, live theatre and restaurants. The Companys theatre operations are also subject to federal, state and local laws governing such matters as construction, renovation and operation of its theatres as well
Executives
Sean T Erwin director 8540 GANDER CREEK DRIVE DAYTON OH 45342
A Dale Mayo officer: Pres., Alternative Programming 250 EAST BROAD STREET, WESTFIELD NJ 07090
Roland Smith director 2951 28TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Richard B Hare officer: SVP-Finance, Treasurer and CFO CARMIKE CINEMAS INC, 1301 FIRST AVENUE, COLUMBUS GA 31901
Daniel E Ellis officer: SVP, General Counsel & Sec
James A Fleming director 1170 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 600, ATLANTA GA 30309
Alan J Hirschfield director 3490 CLUBHOUSE DR 1-2, WILSON WY 83014
Bigfoot Ventures Ltd. 10 percent owner 22/F BIGFOOT CENTRE, 38 YIU WA ST., CAUSEWAY BAY, HONG KONG K3 NONE
Meridee Moore other: See Remarks
James J Gaffney director 10551 WILSHIRE BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Kenneth A Pontarelli director 85 BROAD ST, NEW YORK NY 10004
Martin A Durant officer: SVP-Finance, Treasurer & CFO 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Richard A Friedman other: Former Director C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Jordan John W Ii director 875 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 4020, CHICAGO IL 60611
Goldman Sachs & Co. Llc 10 percent owner 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282

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