What is Empire Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Empire Resources's forward rate of return for was 2.81%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
ERS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Industrial Distribution industry.
Industry Median: 18.1 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Empire Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Empire Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry
For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Empire Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Empire Resources (NAS:ERS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Empire Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Empire Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Empire Resources (Empire Resources) Business Description
Empire Resources Inc was incorporated in the State of Delaware in 1990 under the name Integrated Technology USA, Inc. On September 17, 1999, the Company merged with Empire Resources, Inc. a distributor of value added, semi-finished aluminum products. Since the merger, the Company has continued the business of Empire under the name of Empire Resources, Inc. The Company is engaged in the purchase, sale and distribution of semi-finished aluminum and steel products to customer base located in the Americas, Europe, Australia and New Zealand. The Company sells its products through its own marketing and sales personnel and its independent sales agents who are located in North America and in Europe. The Company's semi-finished aluminum and steel products which are produced by processing aluminum or steel and/or aluminum scrap. A product is considered 'semi-finished' if it has not yet been converted into a final end product. Semi-finished aluminum products include aluminum sheet, coil, plate and foil, rod, bar and wire, extruded and cast products. The Company provides many of these forms of semi-finished aluminum products to its customers. The Company sells its products mainly through its own marketing and sales personnel. In addition, it sells less than 10% of its products through independent sales agents. The Company serves more than 300 customers in industries, such as distribution, transportation, automobile, housing, appliances and packaging. Its competitors include aluminum producers and rolling mills. Its competitors include: Alcoa Inc. and Aleris Rolled Products, Inc. The Company is subject to governmental regulations governing imports, in particular regulations governing the imposition of tariffs and antidumping and other duties.
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